The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yaracuyanos 19.2%
Draw 27.4%
Monagas 53.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.6%
25.9%
53.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
26.2%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
The chances for Monagas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.2%
0%
93.7%
Yaracuyanos - Monagas Predictions
Users Predictions:
Monagas will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monagas will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ojeda D. (G) 17. Ibarguen L. 3. Labranche M. 19. Cordoba J. B. 14. Canon M. 15. Mosquera L. 7. Vargas C. 8. Chacon J. 20. Ordonez E. 88. Navas Barrera V. H. 9. Perez J. (C)
33. Lima E. (G) 21. Iniguez E. 31. Maitan M. 24. Anderson E. 29. Henry N. 77. Rodriguez L. 17. Contreras A. 23. Perez G. 26. Castillo D. 9. Rodriguez T. (C) 39. Rodriguez R.
Substitutes
42. Alvarez L. 29. Campaz A. 11. Garzon D. 24. Garzon S. 1. Gil Y. (G) 16. Gonzalez K. 4. Grueso S. 6. Mendoza C. 30. Querales J. 99. Viez V.
7. Basante F. 18. Caraballo J. 3. Lujano C. 35. Natera S. 88. Navas E. 12. Riveros T. (G) 14. Rivero V. 30. Sulbaran Y. 53. Villalobos J.
Coaches
Perez D.
Zuleta M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Perez J. ⚽,
17', Contreras A. 🟨,
25', Vargas C. 🟨,
42', Chacon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ordonez E. ↓, Grueso S. ↑,
55', Ibarguen L. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
60', Castillo D. ↓, Sulbaran Y. ↑,
61', Rodriguez R. ↓, Basante F. ↑,
66', Contreras A. ↓, Caraballo J. ↑,
71', Mosquera L. ↓, Campaz A. ↑,
71', Vargas C. ↓, Garzon S. ↑,
73', Rodriguez L. ↓, Navas E. ↑,
73', Iniguez E. ↓, Rivero V. ↑,
78', Navas Barrera V. H. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
81', Rivero V. 🟨,
90+1', Henry N. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 0.
Yaracuyanos is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Monagas is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Yaracuyanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Monagas is considered a favorite.
We predict that Monagas will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Yaracuyanos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).