Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Semey)

Referee: Zatula A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Yelimay Semey		Kairat

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.40	2.00
	3.45	3.55	1.88	Watch
	3.44	3.68	1.93
	3.31	3.88	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.86
	3.74	3.76	1.86	Watch
	3.35	3.5	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	3.62 ↓ (3.87)	1.9 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
26.9%

Draw
25.1%

Kairat
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

23.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

22.9%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Yelimay Semey - Kairat Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Yelimay (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yelimay (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Konovalov I. (G) 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 26. Tanasijevic S. 5. Belancic M. 15. Mittendorfer M. 14. Palacio D. 77. Placca F. (C) 23. Ilic H. 44. Tyulyubay A. 89. China 9. Murillo R.	1. Anarbekov T. (G) 20. Tapalov E. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 25. Shirobokov A. 3. Mata L. 22. Mendonsa G. 13. Oksanen J. 24. Mrynskiy A. 28. Gual M. 19. Jukkola O. 9. Edmilson
Substitutes
2. Adambayev A. 88. Baigaliyev A. 7. Murtazaev R. 8. Omatay M. 18. Orazov R. 10. Payruz Z. 11. Sviridov I. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 19. Zhaksylykov A. 4. Zhumakhanov A.	27. Abish M. 8. Baybek O. 81. Bekbolat I. 15. Birkurmanov M. 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 6. Sadybekov A. 17. Tuyakbaev A.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Urazbakhtin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', Tapalov E. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Gual M. ⚽, Mata L. (A),
35', 0 - 2, Mata L. ⚽, Gual M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Murillo R. 🟨,
59', Murillo R. ↓, Sviridov I. ↑,
59', Placca F. ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
59', 🟨,
60', China ↓, Zhaksylykov A. ↑,
67', Oksanen J. 🟨,
69', Palacio D. 🟨,
70', Palacio D. ↓, Payruz Z. ↑,
75', Shirobokov A. 🟥,
81', Jukkola O. 🟨,
82', Tyulyubay A. ↓, Omatay M. ↑,
84', Konovalov I. 🟨,
85', Edmilson ↓, Baybek O. ↑,
88', Mata L. 🟨,
89', Gual M. ↓, Birkurmanov M. ↑,
90+1', Zhaksylykov A. 🟨,
90+2', Jukkola O. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
90+5', Martynovich A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Recent performances by Yelimay have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kairat is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kairat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kairat is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
16.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Yelimay Semey - Ertis Pavlodar	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Yelimay Semey - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWTTL
- Kairat Almaty
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Anderlecht - Kairat	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Kairat - Anderlecht	0:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Kairat - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Kairat - Levski Sofia	0:1 ✺
04.08.26	Levski Sofia - Kairat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
26.04.26	Kairat - Yelimay Semey	2:2
16.08.25	Kairat - Yelimay Semey	2:3
18.05.25	Yelimay Semey - Kairat	1:0
03.08.24	Kairat - Yelimay Semey	4:1
19.05.24	Yelimay Semey - Kairat	1:1

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