Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl)

Referee: Sultangaliev R. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kyzylzhar		Yelimay Semey

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.20	2.15
	3.15	3.15	2.00	Watch
	3.01	3.50	2.18
	3	3.44	2.16	Watch
	2.95	3.30	2.14
	3.10	3.38	2.24	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.12)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)	2.15 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
30.4%

Draw
27.4%

Yelimay Semey
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.6%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

26.5%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kyzylzhar will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Yelimay will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 71. Sokolenko A. 23. Piscevic N. 22. Kozlenko A. 11. Cheredinov A. 28. Chirkov R. 19. Krajisnik D. 88. Pertsukh Y. 8. Makarenko E. 9. Adil A. 7. Muldinov T.	32. Konovalov I. (G) 4. Zhumakhanov A. 3. Higor Gabriel 5. Belancic M. 20. Ashirbek A. 23. Ilic H. 44. Tyulyubay A. 18. Orazov R. 14. Palacio D. 77. Placca F. 11. Sviridov I.
Substitutes
96. Abiken A. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 25. Galabov P. 27. Gubarev N. 26. Kerimzhanov O. 21. Kurbanov T. 77. Latifi L. 29. Loginovsky G. 32. Petrov V. (G) 14. Serikbay A. 5. Slambekov D. 79. Valgushev G.	2. Adambaev A. 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 88. Baygaliev A. 15. Mittendorfer M. 7. Murtazaev R. 26. Tanasijevic S. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 67. Zhilin A.
Coaches
Curcic M.	Karpovich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Celeadnic D. ↓, Petrov V. ↑,
26', Adil A. 🟨,
34', Tyulyubay A. 🟨,
43', Sokolenko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Kozlenko A. 🟨,
61', Palacio D. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
61', Sviridov I. ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
68', Zhumakhanov A. 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Murtazaev R. ⚽, Ilic H. (A),
71', Adil A. ↓, Kurbanov T. ↑,
71', Muldinov T. ↓, Valgushev G. ↑,
71', Kozlenko A. ↓, Kerimzhanov O. ↑,
72', Zhumakhanov A. ↓, Tanasijevic S. ↑,
80', Cheredinov A. 🟨,
81', Chirkov R. ↓, Latifi L. ↑,
82', Valgushev G. 🟨,
83', Belancic M. 🟨,
89', Ilic H. ↓, Baygaliev A. ↑,
90+4', Orazov R. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 1.

Kyzylzhar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yelimay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Yelimay has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Last Results with these Odds

Kyzylzhar - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.62%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
27.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	2:4 ✺
17.06.26	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhetysu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
27.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy	1:3 ✺
28.05.26	Kaisar - Yelimay Semey	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
27.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:0
23.08.25	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:0
25.05.25	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	1:1
Kazakh Cup
14.05.25	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	1:0 penalties
Kazakh Premier League
24.08.24	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:1
02.06.24	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	1:1
Kazakh Cup
08.05.24	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	1:0

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