Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Zhezqazghan)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Ulytau		Turan Turkistan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.93
	3.75	3.35	1.94	Watch
	3.96	3.35	1.89
	3.91	3.48	1.83	Watch
	3.8	3	1.95
	4.02	3.48	1.9	Watch
	3.8	3.35	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.07)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	1.9 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulytau
23.9%

Draw
27.8%

Turan Turkistan
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

30.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.1%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulytau's form might have worsened.

Turan Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Turan Turkistan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulytau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Turan Turkistan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	30%	70%

Ulytau - Turan Turkistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Turan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Turan: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Turan (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Turan Turkistan will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Turan (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nepogodov D. (G) 20. Abylaykhan R. 28. Bugulov G. 19. Carrillo J. 15. Daniyarov B. 7. Kashken D. 3. Keiler S. 17. Moldakaraev Z. 5. Slambekov D. (C) 10. Taubay A. 8. Vachiberadze B.	1. Khatkevich E. (G) 8. Askarov B. 89. Dorofeev K. 20. Milojko G. 17. Nurymbet A. 44. Pajovic J. 71. Sovpel V. 22. Stasevich I. 7. Umarov S. 6. Yudenkov R. 9. Zhumabek A. (C)
Substitutes
2. Aslan R. 4. Chalkin M. 11. Madelkhan B. 12. Nursultanov K. 95. Paireli V. 35. Pavlov S. (G) 22. Rzataev B. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 9. Solodovnicov N. 6. Terekhov Y. 14. Tuleev A.	2. Abdumazhidov O. 24. Duysenbekuly K. 28. Khadzhiev A. 19. Sarsenbay E. 5. Satyshev A. 11. Toybekov E. 78. Zakirov T. (G) 15. Zgurskiy L.
Coaches
Azovskiy I.	Zhukovskiy V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Dorofeev K. ⚽,
36', Daniyarov B. 🟨,
39', Keiler S. 🟨,
40', Dorofeev K. 🟨,
42', Taubay A. 🟨,
43', Moldakaraev Z. 🟨,
45+1', Kashken D. 🟨,
45+3', Milojko G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Moldakaraev Z. ↓, Solodovnicov N. ↑,
48', Kashken D. ↓, Terekhov Y. ↑,
54', Bugulov G. ↓, Chalkin M. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Taubay A. ⚽,
71', Dorofeev K. ↓, Zgurskiy L. ↑,
71', Umarov S. ↓, Abdumazhidov O. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Abylaykhan R. ⚽,
75', Taubay A. ↓, Nursultanov K. ↑,
78', Milojko G. ↓, Duysenbekuly K. ↑,
85', Pajovic J. ↓, Satyshev A. ↑,
87', Abylaykhan R. ↓, Paireli V. ↑,
87', Abdumazhidov O. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 9).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Turan has had a series of home games.

Turan could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
24.05.25	Ordabasy - Ulytau	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Ulytau - Astana	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Kyzylzhar - Ulytau	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Ulytau - Kairat	1:4 ✺
26.04.25	Aktobe - Ulytau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 WLLLL
- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh Premier League
25.05.25	Turan Turkistan - Tobol Kostanay	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Kaisar - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
14.05.25	Turan Turkistan - Tobol Kostanay	0:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.05.25	Turan Turkistan - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWT

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