The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Turan Turkistan 22.9%
Draw 26.2%
Zhenis 50.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
28.2%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
28.5%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turan Turkistan's form might have worsened.
Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zhenis's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+21%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turan Turkistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-23.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zhenis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
0%
87.5%
Turan Turkistan - Zhenis Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Turan will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Zhenis will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Zhenis: 64.6% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Turan (2.00) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
AH 0 - Zhenis (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Turan (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zhenis will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
78. Zakirov T. (G) 95. Abdimutalipov K. 24. Duysenbekuly K. 70. Duysenkali M. 28. Khadzhiev A. 82. Perdebay N. 19. Sarsenbay E. 5. Satyshev A. 68. Serikuly D. 11. Toybekov E. 9. Zhumabek A. (C)
1. Ignatovich S. (G) 11. Adil A. 19. Adilio 77. Anuarbekov N. 23. Baltabekov A. 8. Karaman D. 7. Kuat I. (C) 25. Rom M. 14. Saulet A. 10. Tevzadze Z. 33. Venizelou K.
Substitutes
34. Bekturshin B. 14. Dzhanbaev D. 27. Mukhammetzhanuly M. (G) 17. Nurymbet A.
17. Adilov A. 21. Kamaradinov B. 87. Martins G. 5. Mukanov S. 63. Saravanja I. 9. Yakudi K. 24. Zhomart D. (G) 6. Zhunussov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Satyshev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Anuarbekov N. ↓, Martins G. ↑,
65', Baltabekov A. ↓, Saravanja I. ↑,
69', Zhumabek A. ↓, Nurymbet A. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Saulet A. ⚽,
74', Zakirov T. 🟨,
74', Khadzhiev A. 🟨,
84', 0 - 2, Adilio ⚽,
86', Sarsenbay E. ↓, Bekturshin B. ↑,
90+1', Adil A. ↓, Kamaradinov B. ↑,
90+1', Zakirov T. ↓, Mukhammetzhanuly M. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
Recent form of Turan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Zhenis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Turan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Zhenis has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Turan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).