Match Info

FNL - Round 15

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Krasnoyarsk)

Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)


	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.74
	2.77	3.06	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.99)	3.08 ↑ (2.94)	2.68 (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
33.8%

Draw
30.8%

Spartak Kostroma
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

32.5%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

33%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Shamov E. (C) 5. Emerson 3. Tses Y. 22. Gyurdzhan A. 33. Maslovskiy A. 44. Tikhonov M. 6. Batyrev A. 7. Chukanov A. 87. Mazurin A. 11. Khashkulov A. 75. Okladnikov A.	68. Gaydash M. (G) 2. Tarasov N. 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 18. Ignatiev M. 78. Kiselev G. (C) 8. Sadov D. 11. Nazarenko E. 22. Nemchenko A. 35. Enin I. 55. Saplinov A. 23. Chikanchi M.
Substitutes
1. Antipin S. (G) 20. Belem A. 55. Bogatyrev N. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 8. Kanaplin A. 49. Kenfak O. 19. Krotov V. 77. Ogienko R. 9. Ratkovic L. 23. Savin N. 79. Yunusov R. (G) 17. Zazvonkin I.	7. Bokov D. 3. Bugriev S. 69. Chursin K. 56. Demyanov V. 17. Kalachev I. 6. Kaplenko K. 80. Khorin A. A. 86. Korets N. (G) 66. Makarenko Y. 85. Puchkov S. 4. Supranovich N. 57. Tlekhugov M.
Coaches
Tikhonov A.	Bondar S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Zhilmostnykh D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Okladnikov A. ↓, Ratkovic L. ↑,
46', Nazarenko E. ↓, Bokov D. ↑,
46', Tarasov N. 🟨,
59', Khashkulov A. ↓, Ogienko R. ↑,
63', Bokov D. 🟨,
70', Tses Y. 🟨,
72', Tikhonov M. ↓, Gilyazetdinov A. ↑,
72', Maslovskiy A. ↓, Bogatyrev N. ↑,
74', Chikanchi M. ↓, Supranovich N. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Ratkovic L. ⚽,
79', Nemchenko A. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
83', Sadov D. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
90', Gilyazetdinov A. 🟨,
90+4', Chukanov A. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Spartak Kostroma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yenisey won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:4 ✺
06.10.25	Chelyabinsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.25	Amkal Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTLW
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Spartak Kostroma - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ufa - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.25	KAMAZ - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Spartak Kostroma	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
26.09.24	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0

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