Match Info

FNL - Round 32

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: KAMAZ Stadium (Naberezhnye Chelny)

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	KAMAZ		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.2	2.61
	2.9	3.1	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.66)	3.15 ↑ (2.9)	2.56 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAMAZ
32.2%

Draw
30.4%

Spartak Kostroma
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

32.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

33.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Kostroma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Kostroma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

KAMAZ - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Anisimov A. (G) 10. Zashchepkin R. 13. Semenov A. 18. Tananeev D. 69. Davydov V. 3. Marugin D. 77. Revazov A. 24. Shamkin D. 14. Abdullaev S. 83. Laykin M. 9. Karaev D.	25. Sappa D. (G) 2. Tarasov N. 4. Supranovich N. 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 18. Ignatiev M. 9. Khubaev D. 10. Pantelic D. 11. Nazarenko E. 35. Enin I. 88. Gogic F. 90. Kalmykov A.
Substitutes
17. Abdullahi S. 7. Ayukin R. 15. Burko M. 53. Deryugin A. 8. Dolgopolov E. 6. Kalistratov T. 95. Korobov V. (G) 91. Roshchin A. 22. Solodukhin A. 28. Sultonov M. 54. Ustyugov A.	7. Bokov D. 3. Bugriev S. 23. Chikanchi M. 38. Chupayov A. 69. Chursin K. 78. Kiselev G. 19. Lyakh V. 13. Rubtsov I. 8. Sadov D. 15. Terekhov D. (G) 57. Tlekhugov M. 17. Uridia G.
Coaches
Khazov A.	Ashikhmin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Karaev D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Revazov A. ↓, Sultonov M. ↑,
60', Nazarenko E. ↓, Tlekhugov M. ↑,
60', Enin I. ↓, Rubtsov I. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Sultonov M. ⚽,
70', Gogic F. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
70', Pantelic D. ↓, Sadov D. ↑,
86', Shamkin D. ↓, Kalistratov T. ↑,
86', Abdullaev S. ↓, Deryugin A. ↑,
86', Laykin M. ↓, Abdullahi S. ↑,
87', Solodukhin A. 🟨,
87', Kiselev G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).

Recent performances by KAMAZ have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spartak Kostroma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, KAMAZ won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, KAMAZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

S. Kostroma: 6.02% Kamaz: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Kostroma	12	7	3	2	16:10	6	24
16	Kamaz	12	2	3	7	11:19	-8	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
26.04.26	KAMAZ - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Ufa - KAMAZ	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Torpedo Moscow - KAMAZ	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	KAMAZ - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Shinnik - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTT
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
25.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Spartak Kostroma	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.10.25	Spartak Kostroma - KAMAZ	1:1
Russian Cup
25.09.25	KAMAZ - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 penalties

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