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Current Win Probability
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 51.4%
Draw 26.1%
Tyumen 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
27.6%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
26.3%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tyumen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tyumen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Tyumen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Shamov E. (G) 55. Bogatyrev N. 5. Emerson 3. Tses Y. 33. Maslovskiy A. 87. Mazurin A. 23. Ushatov K. 8. Lomakin A. (C) 7. Chukanov A. 11. Tikhonov D. 75. Okladnikov A.
1. Dovgal A. (G) 30. Shavlokhov D. 13. Petrov M. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 23. Korotkov A. 72. Bem A. 5. Poroykov S. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 85. Pyatkin I. 65. Gulko I. 10. Savinov A.
Substitutes
6. Batyrev A. 10. Bavin Y. 20. Belem A. 47. Dolgov A. 90. Gainov M. 22. Kanaplin A. 49. Kenfak O. 62. Kravtsov V. 18. Nadolskiy A. 96. Rukas T. 79. Yunusov R. (G) 17. Zazvonkin I.
97. Goshev E. (G) 11. Karpov D. 90. Mokaev I. 14. Shukurov A. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.
Coaches
Tikhonov A.
Menshchikov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Gulko I. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Maslovskiy A. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Tses Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Korotaev A. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
46', Gulko I. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
46', Shavlokhov D. ↓, Voropaev A. ↑,
47', Pyatkin I. 🟨,
60', 3 - 1, Tikhonov D. ⚽,
61', Savinov A. ↓, Shukurov A. ↑,
61', Bezchasnyuk A. ↓, Karpov D. ↑,
64', Mazurin A. ↓, Belem A. ↑,
64', Okladnikov A. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Tkachuk D. ⚽,
78', Shukurov A. 🟨,
78', Korotaev A. 🟨,
80', Tikhonov D. ↓, Bavin Y. ↑,
80', Chukanov A. ↓, Batyrev A. ↑,
85', Lomakin A. ↓, Nadolskiy A. ↑,
88', Tkachuk D. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 2, Ushatov K. ⚽,
90+3', Tses Y. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 3, Tkachuk D. (Pen),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Tyumen is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yenisey won 2.
Yenisey has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tyumen's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Yenisey is the team to beat.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Yenisey won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Yenisey won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
Russia
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Shamov E. (G) 
Emerson 
Dovgal A. (G) 
Belem A. 
Kenfak O. 
Shukurov A. 
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