Match Info

FNL - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.87	6.3
	1.55	3.8	6.22	Watch
	1.7	3.35	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.89)	3.67 ↑ (3.04)	5.87 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
58.4%

Draw
25.6%

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

31%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

30.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baltika Kaliningrad's performance.

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baltika Kaliningrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Baltika Kaliningrad - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Borisko M. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 4. Gassama N. 16. Andrade K. 17. Saus V. 8. Mendel A. (C) 10. Petrov I. 96. Mokhammad A. 73. Petrov M. 22. Titkov N. 91. Gil Hurtado B.	50. Shamov E. (G) 5. Emerson 33. Maslovskiy A. 55. Bogatyrev N. 3. Tses Y. 7. Chukanov A. 87. Mazurin A. 11. Tikhonov D. 23. Ushatov K. 8. Lomakin A. (C) 47. Dolgov A.
Substitutes
70. Eldarushev A. 6. Isaenko O. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 99. Lisakovich V. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Nikishin K. 5. Osipov A. 27. Ozdoev R. 9. Stefanovich I. 13. Terentjev D.	10. Bavin Y. 20. Belem A. 22. Kanaplin A. 49. Kenfak O. 18. Nadolskiy A. 75. Okladnikov A. 96. Rukas T. 79. Yunusov R. (G) 17. Zazvonkin I.
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Tikhonov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Saus V. 🟨,
60', Saus V. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,
60', Titkov N. ↓, Lisakovich V. ↑,
64', Mazurin A. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
64', Ushatov K. ↓, Bavin Y. ↑,
64', Dolgov A. ↓, Okladnikov A. ↑,
75', Petrov M. ↓, Chernov E. ↑,
75', Gil Hurtado B. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
77', Varatynov S. 🟨,
86', Bogatyrev N. ↓, Rukas T. ↑,
90', Petrov I. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 9).

Baltika is Qualified for Premier League

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Baltika is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
10.05.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Ural - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:5 ✺
20.04.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Sokol Saratov	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWTW
- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
10.05.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sokol Saratov	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Rotor - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
26.04.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	KAMAZ - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
31.08.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2
15.04.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1
25.09.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:2
Club Friendly
26.06.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0
Russian FNL
19.03.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2
10.09.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0
28.03.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2

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