Match Info

FNL - Round 33

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Tyumen		Ural

	1	X	2
	4.16	3.69	1.87
	3.88	3.38	1.94	Watch
	3.4	3	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (4.76)	3.36 ↑ (3.14)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumen
23.8%

Draw
27.1%

Ural
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

30%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

28.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Tyumen - Ural Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dovgal A. (G) 72. Bem A. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 34. Khramtsov M. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 23. Korotkov A. 6. Pechenkin N. 13. Petrov M. 5. Poroykov S. 85. Pyatkin I. 30. Shavlokhov D.	71. Mamin A. (G) 2. Begic S. 37. Bondarev V. 5. Egorychev A. 24. Filipenko E. 15. Ishkov I. 16. Italo 43. Margasov T. 20. Markov E. 42. Mosin E. K. 75. Sungatulin F.
Substitutes
16. Ergardt V. (G) 97. Goshev E. (G) 18. Grigorjev D. 11. Karpov D. 90. Mokaev I. 10. Savinov A. 14. Shukurov A. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.	55. Ayupov T. 4. Bessmertniy S. 44. Malkevich V. 46. Mamin A. 18. Morozov N. 17. Sekulic M. 77. Shcherbitskiy D. (G) 50. Voronov M. 14. Zheleznov Y.
Coaches
Menshchikov I.	Tomarov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Shavlokhov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Markov E. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
62', Ishkov I. ↓, Zheleznov Y. ↑,
62', Margasov T. ↓, Malkevich V. ↑,
65', Khramtsov M. 🟨,
70', Petrov M. 🟨,
71', Poroykov S. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
79', Petrov M. ↓, Savinov A. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Bem A. ⚽,
82', Mosin E. K. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
88', Shavlokhov D. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
88', Bem A. ↓, Karpov D. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Voronov M. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, Zheleznov Y. ⚽, Voronov M. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent performances by Tyumen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ural's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ural is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Tyumen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
11.05.25	Tyumen - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Sokol Saratov - Tyumen	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Tyumen - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Rotor - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tyumen - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWLW
- FK Ural
Russian FNL
11.05.25	Ural - Ufa	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Rodina Moscow - Ural	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	Ural - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:5 ✺
21.04.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
15.04.25	Spartak Moscow - Ural	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
12.10.24	Ural - Tyumen	1:0
Russian FNL Cup
11.02.18	Tyumen - Ural	2:3
24.02.17	Ural - Tyumen	1:2 penalties

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