Match Info

K3 League - Round 26

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Yeoju		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	2.88	2.35
	3.25	3.05	2.38
	3.07	3.13	2.35	Watch
	3.12	3.22	2.29	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.5)	3.07 ↑ (3.02)	2.41 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeoju
31.2%

Draw
30.3%

Paju Frontier
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.8%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

32.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeoju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeoju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paju Frontier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Yeoju - Paju Frontier Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paju Frontier will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paju Frontier (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).

Yeoju has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Paju Citizen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Yeoju has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yeoju won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Yeoju won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeoju FC
South Korean K3 League
20.09.25	Gangneung - Yeoju	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Gimhae - Yeoju	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Daejeon Korail - Yeoju	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Yeoju - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Yangpyeong - Yeoju	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTTLL
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
20.09.25	Paju Frontier - Changwon City	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Chuncheon - Paju Frontier	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Paju Frontier - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
31.05.25	Paju Frontier - Yeoju	2:0
22.09.24	Yeoju - Paju Frontier	0:0
25.05.24	Paju Frontier - Yeoju	1:0

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