Match Info

J1 League - Round 1

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.76	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.25
	4.8	3.53	1.83
	4.11	3.44	1.93	Watch
	4.4	3.25	1.8
	4.38	3.34	1.85	Watch
	4.33	3.4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.68)	3.39 ↑ (3.32)	1.9 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
22.3%

Draw
27.9%

Machida Zelvia
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28.5%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	30.8%	46.2%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Yokohama FM (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Yokohama FM (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Yokohama FM (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Park Il-gyu (G) 13. Inoue T. 17. Quinones J. 22. Tsunoda R. 2. Kato R. 6. Watanabe K. 28. Yamane R. 7. Tono D. 11. Croux J. 9. Tanimura K. 23. Miyaichi R.	1. Tani K. (G) 6. Mochizuki H. 3. Shoji G. 5. Dresevic I. 11. Masuyama A. 31. Lavi N. 19. Nakayama Y. 88. Nakamura H. 8. Sento K. 7. Soma Y. 27. Erik
Substitutes
40. Amano J. 26. David D. 44. Deng T. 8. Kida T. 31. Kimura R. (G) 24. Kondo T. 18. Onaiwu G. 35. Sekitomi K. 19. Tevis	9. Fujio S. 26. Hayashi K. 49. Kuwayama K. 13. Morita T. (G) 10. Na Sang-Ho 50. Okamura D. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F. 99. Yengi T.
Coaches
Oshima H.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Erik ⚽, Lavi N. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Tono D. (Penalty Awarded),
17', 1 - 2, Erik ⚽,
21', Park Il-gyu ↓, Kimura R. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 3, Soma Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Miyaichi R. 🟨,
63', Soma Y. 🟨,
64', Tanimura K. ↓, David D. ↑,
64', Tono D. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
64', Miyaichi R. ↓, Tevis ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Croux J. ⚽, David D. (A),
67', Sento K. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
75', Yamane R. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
77', Erik ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
77', Lavi N. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
90', Soma Y. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
90', Masuyama A. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,

Preview

Machida Zelvia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Vasquez B. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Yokohama F. Marinos: 3.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Machida	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7:7	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Machida Zelvia - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.87%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 LWWWW
- Machida Zelvia
AFC Champions League
09.12.25	Machida Zelvia - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
22.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
23.08.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia	0:0
31.05.25	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:3
20.07.24	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2
15.06.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia	1:3
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia	1:4

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