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Current Win Probability
Kawasaki Frontale 54.2%
Draw 25.8%
Avispa Fukuoka 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
26.8%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
27.4%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.2%
5.3%
10.5%
Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kawasaki Frontale will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kawasaki Frontale will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 31. van Wermeskerken S. 22. Uremovic F. 35. Maruyama Y. 5. Sasaki A. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. 23. Marcinho 9. Erison
24. Obata Y. (G) 5. Kamijima T. 3. Nara T. 20. Ando T. 18. Iwasaki Y. 6. Shigemi M. 88. Matsuoka D. 22. Fujimoto K. 8. Konno K. 14. Nago S. 27. Usui S.
Substitutes
21. Ando S. (G) 41. Ienaga A. 4. Jesiel 38. Kanda S. 19. Kawahara S. 11. Kobayashi Y. 16. Ozeki Y. 91. Romanic L. 15. Tanabe S.
15. Akino H. 13. Ben Khalifa N. 47. Hashimoto Y. 29. Maejima Y. 31. Murakami M. (G) 37. Tashiro M. 17. Wellington 2. Yuzawa M. 9. Zahedi S.
Coaches
Hasebe S.
Kim Myong-hwi
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Tachibanada K. ⚽, Marcinho (A),
15', Uremovic F. 🟥,
17', Ito T. ↓, Jesiel ↑,
22', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Nago S. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Erison ⚽,
35', 2 - 2, Erison (Own goal),
45+7', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
64', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
71', 2 - 3, Nago S. (Pen),
71', Sasaki A. 🟨,
72', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
72', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
74', Kamijima T. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
74', Shigemi M. ↓, Wellington ↑,
78', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
78', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
85', 2 - 4, Usui S. ⚽, Nago S. (A),
88', 2 - 5, Konno K. ⚽, Fujimoto K. (A),
90+1', Usui S. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
90+1', Konno K. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
90+5', Ienaga A. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Kawasaki is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Kawasaki: Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Marcinho
(Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 2.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.7:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Kawasaki Frontale - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.84%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 
Uremovic F. 
Marcinho 
Romanic L. 
Ben Khalifa N. 
Zahedi S. 
Kim Myong-hwi 
