Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 20

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Cerezo Osaka		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.8	4.75
	1.68	3.7	4.69	Watch
	1.73	4.09	4.8
	1.74	4.01	4.73
	1.62	3.9	4.4
	1.76	3.9	4.49	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)	3.88 ↑ (3.77)	4.65 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
55.5%

Draw
24.3%

Sagan Tosu
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

23.9%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	17.6%	17.6%

Cerezo Osaka - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 16. Okuda H. 33. Nishio R. 24. Toriumi K. 14. Funaki K. 77. Fernandes L. 10. Tanaka S. 25. Okuno H. 27. Capixaba 7. Uejo S. 9. Leo Ceara	71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 2. Yamazaki K. 3. Kimura S. 16. Ueebisu K. 5. Kawahara S. 7. Tezuka K. 88. Naganuma Y. 23. Kikuchi T. 13. Yokoyama A. 99. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
4. Hirano Y. 28. Hubner J. 8. Kagawa S. 48. Shibayama M. 19. Tameda H. 35. Watanabe R. 1. Yang Han-Been (G)	14. Fujita N. 6. Fukuta A. 21. Horigome Y. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 8. Nakahara H. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 22. Togashi C.
Coaches
Kogiku A.	Kawai K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Tezuka K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Tanaka S. 🟨,
58', Tezuka K. ↓, Fukuta A. ↑,
58', Kikuchi T. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
71', Uejo S. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
71', Capixaba ↓, Tameda H. ↑,
72', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
72', Yokoyama A. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
84', Fernandes L. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
84', Okuno H. ↓, Hirano Y. ↑,
84', Yamazaki K. ↓, Fujita N. ↑,
90', Leo Ceara ↓, Hubner J. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Tosu have a series of home games.

In this match Cerezo Osaka is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
22.06.24	Júbilo Iwata - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Cerezo Osaka - J-Lease	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.06.24	Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka	2:2 ✺
05.06.24	Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWTL
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J1 League
22.06.24	Sagan Tosu - Kyoto Sanga	3:0 ✺
16.06.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Sagan Tosu - Kochi United	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.24	Sagan Tosu - Tokyo	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Sagan Tosu - Tokyo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
16.03.24	Sagan Tosu - Cerezo Osaka	0:2
08.07.23	Sagan Tosu - Cerezo Osaka	2:1
12.03.23	Cerezo Osaka - Sagan Tosu	2:1
10.09.22	Cerezo Osaka - Sagan Tosu	2:1
03.05.22	Sagan Tosu - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
18.08.21	Cerezo Osaka - Sagan Tosu	1:0
Japan J1 League
24.07.21	Sagan Tosu - Cerezo Osaka	3:3

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