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Current Win Probability
Sagan Tosu 25.5%
Draw 25.8%
Kashiwa Reysol 48.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
26.8%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
26.4%
45.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.2%
25%
43.7%
Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 19.5% – 68.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 3. Kimura S. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 16. Ueebisu K. 6. Fukuta A. 7. Tezuka K. 22. Togashi C. 21. Horigome Y. 88. Naganuma Y. 99. Marcelo Ryan
46. Matsumoto K. (G) 32. Hiroki S. 22. Noda H. 4. Koga T. 3. Diego 6. Yamada Y. 5. Takamine T. 28. Toshima S. 10. Matheus Savio 19. Hosoya M. 14. Koyamatsu T.
Substitutes
11. Araujo V. 14. Fujita N. 5. Kawahara S. 8. Nakahara H. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Yamazaki K. 13. Yokoyama A.
24. Kawaguchi N. 15. Kinoshita K. 48. Kumasawa K. 2. Mitsumaru H. 21. Sasaki M. (G) 29. Shimamura T. 33. Shirai E.
Coaches
Kawai K.
Ihara M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Togashi C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
57', Takamine T. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
58', Yamada Y. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Matheus Savio (Pen),
64', 1 - 2, Matheus Savio ⚽, Hosoya M. (A),
65', Tezuka K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
66', Horigome Y. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Kinoshita K. ⚽, Diego (A),
74', Togashi C. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
78', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
80', Hosoya M. ↓, Kumasawa K. ↑,
81', Ueebisu K. ↓, Araujo V. ↑,
81', Fukuta A. ↓, Fujita N. ↑,
89', Matheus Savio ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
90', 1 - 4, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 1.
Recent matches Tosu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kashiwa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.
China
Japan
Watch
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Park Il-gyu (G) 
Harada W. 
Marcelo Ryan 
Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 
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