Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 13

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium (Yokohama)

Referee: Sutani Y. (Jpn)


	Yokohama FC		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.1
	1.8	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.64	5
	1.86	3.54	4.52
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.83	3.56	4.15	Watch
	1.81	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	4.34 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama FC
51.6%

Draw
26.9%

Mito HollyHock
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Mito HollyHock have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Yokohama FC - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: Yokohama FC will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ichikawa A. (G) 22. Iwatake K. 2. Nduka B. 24. Fukumori A. 8. Yamane T. 7. Inoue S. 6. Wada T. 20. Murata T. 10. Caprini 15. Ito S. 38. Takahashi T.	51. Haruna R. (G) 19. Murata K. 33. Ushizawa T. 4. Yamada N. 42. Ishii H. 88. Nagai K. 10. Maeda R. 23. Koda H. 8. Ochiai R. 7. Arai H. 45. Teranuma S.
Substitutes
77. Arai M. 5. Gabriel 1. Nagai K. (G) 3. Nakamura T. 14. Nakano Y. 9. Sakuragawa S. 4. Yuri Lara	9. Ando M. 35. Iizumi R. 22. Kubo S. 96. Kurokawa A. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 15. Nagao Y. 13. Nose R.
Coaches
Yomoda S.	Hamasaki Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Caprini ⚽, Takahashi T. (A),
58', Murata K. 🟨,
65', Koda H. ↓, Ando M. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Iwatake K. ⚽, Fukumori A. (A),
72', Arai H. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
72', Teranuma S. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
72', Ochiai R. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
72', Inoue S. ↓, Yuri Lara ↑,
72', Takahashi T. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
72', Murata T. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
79', Ito S. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
83', Caprini ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
83', Maeda R. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
90+7', Sakuragawa S. 🟨,
90+7', Kurokawa A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yokohama FC won 2.

Yokohama FC is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mito HollyHock is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yokohama FC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Yokohama FC is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Yokohama FC won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Yokohama FC won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama FC
Japan J2 League
28.04.24	Blaublitz Akita - Yokohama FC	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
24.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC	3:4 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
21.04.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Yokohama FC - Fujieda MYFC	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Yokohama FC - Iwaki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWT
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
27.04.24	Mito HollyHock - Fujieda MYFC	2:3 ✺
21.04.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Mito HollyHock - Tochigi	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Mito HollyHock	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	Blaublitz Akita - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
02.07.22	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama FC	1:2
13.03.22	Yokohama FC - Mito HollyHock	3:2
10.08.19	Yokohama FC - Mito HollyHock	0:0
22.06.19	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama FC	1:1
16.09.18	Yokohama FC - Mito HollyHock	1:2
25.03.18	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama FC	0:0
20.08.17	Yokohama FC - Mito HollyHock	1:0

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