Match Info

J2 League - Round 14

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.88	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.55
	2.6	3	2.8	Watch
	2.69	3.11	2.92
	2.68	3	2.73
	2.7	2.88	2.62
	2.54	3.08	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.55)	3 ↓ (3.3)	2.75 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
35.3%

Draw
31%

Mito HollyHock
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

27.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.2%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Renofa Yamaguchi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Renofa Yamaguchi (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marsman N. (G) 55. Okaniwa S. 15. Itakura T. 4. Matsuda K. 18. Kamekawa M. 38. Suenaga T. 7. Misawa N. 17. Tanabe K. 8. Noyori K. 45. Yamamoto O. 9. Arita R.	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 36. Itakura K. 97. Takahashi T. 2. Omori S. 8. Saito S. 3. Osaki K. 15. Nagao Y. 23. Tsukui T. 22. Kubo S. 7. Watanabe A.
Substitutes
34. Furukawa D. 6. Kim Byeom-Yong 28. Kobayashi S. 40. Naruoka H. 27. Ozawa R. 14. Shimodo R. 26. Taguchi J. (G) 19. Yamamoto S. 11. Yokoyama R.	5. Chinen T. 10. Maeda R. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 40. Morimura S. 27. Okita S. 44. Okuda K. 45. Teranuma S. 39. Yamamoto H. 24. Yamazaki K.
Coaches
Shigaki R.	Mori N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Tsukui T. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Watanabe A. ⚽, Nagao Y. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Saito S. ⚽, Watanabe A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kubo S. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
61', Noyori K. ↓, Yokoyama R. ↑,
61', Suenaga T. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
61', Arita R. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
65', Tsukui T. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
76', Kamekawa M. ↓, Ozawa R. ↑,
77', Watanabe A. 🟨,
80', Saito S. ↓, Morimura S. ↑,
80', Watanabe A. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
86', Yamamoto O. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
90+2', Osaki K. ↓, Chinen T. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Yokoyama R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Renofa Yamaguchi has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
03.05.25	Vegalta Sendai - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:1 ✺
29.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Imabari	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLTT
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
03.05.25	Fujieda MYFC - Mito HollyHock	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Imabari	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Tokushima Vortis - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.06.24	Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1
21.04.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock	1:2
03.09.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0
Japan J2 League
28.05.23	Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1
20.08.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock	1:0
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ET

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