Match Info

J2 League - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Yokohama FC		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.40	4.50
	1.65	3.4	4.9	Watch
	1.71	3.61	5.37
	1.7	3.61	5	Watch
	1.67	3.55	5.3
	1.68	3.52	5.28	Watch
	1.69	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)	3.51 ↓ (3.72)	5.08 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama FC
55.4%

Draw
26.4%

Oita Trinita
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Oita Trinita aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Yokohama FC - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Yokohama FC will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ichikawa A. (G) 16. Ito M. 22. Iwatake K. (C) 5. Hosoi K. 20. Murata T. 4. Ogura H. 77. Takae L. 48. Shimbo K. 18. Shimamura T. 10. Joao Paulo 30. Chiba K.	22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 3. Miyakawa A. 31. Matheus Pereira (C) 6. Misao Y. 16. Shige T. 7. Nishimura Y. 19. Hayashida K. 14. Utsumoto S. 10. Matheus Leiria 18. Patrick Verhon 9. Arima K.
Substitutes
90. Adailton 15. Hayashi K. 42. Ishii R. (G) 49. Komazawa N. 13. Kubota R. 9. Lukian 35. Uda K. 7. Yamada K. 26. Yokoyama A.	45. Aizawa D. 34. Furukawa D. 17. Kimoto M. 28. Kiyotake H. 27. Matsuo Y. 44. Moriyama K. 8. Sakakibara K. 1. Tanaka Y. (G) 30. Tone I.
Coaches
Sudo D.	Yomoda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Ogura H. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Utsumoto S. ⚽, Patrick Verhon (A),
35', Shige T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Chiba K. ↓, Lukian ↑,
46', Ogura H. ↓, Yamada K. ↑,
55', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
57', Nishimura Y. ↓, Sakakibara K. ↑,
57', Matheus Pereira ↓, Tone I. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Lukian (Penalty Awarded),
68', Takae L. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
70', Patrick Verhon ↓, Kimoto M. ↑,
77', Sakakibara K. 🟨,
81', Matheus Leiria ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
81', Arima K. ↓, Kiyotake H. ↑,
81', Joao Paulo ↓, Adailton ↑,
85', Shimamura T. 🟨,
86', Murata T. ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Kimoto M. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th in the Promotion - J2 League (Promotion: ) and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 1.

Yokohama FC is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Oita Trinita have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Yokohama FC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Yokohama FC has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Yokohama FC is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Yokohama FC in today's match, at odds of 1.66.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Yokohama FC has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:22 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yokohama FC against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.5:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Yokohama FC	10	5	2	3	19:13	6	17
7	Oita Trinita	10	3	5	2	11:8	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama FC
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
04.10.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Yokohama FC	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Gifu - Yokohama FC	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Kataller Toyama - Yokohama FC	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Yokohama FC - Imabari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
03.10.26	Oita Trinita - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Oita Trinita - Fujieda MYFC	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Oita Trinita - Imabari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
21.09.24	Yokohama FC - Oita Trinita	1:1
02.03.24	Oita Trinita - Yokohama FC	0:0
09.10.22	Yokohama FC - Oita Trinita	2:3
06.03.22	Oita Trinita - Yokohama FC	1:2
Japan J1 League
27.11.21	Oita Trinita - Yokohama FC	2:0
06.03.21	Yokohama FC - Oita Trinita	1:2
03.11.20	Yokohama FC - Oita Trinita	2:3

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