Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	17:45	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	10:45	Nova Sport
China	15:45	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	09:45	SportKlub 1
India	13:15	FanCode, Vision+
Japan	16:45	DAZN Japan
Macao	15:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	15:45	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go
Russia	10:45	TV Start
Serbia	09:45	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	09:45	SportKlub 2
South Korea	16:45	Coupang Play
Turkey	10:45	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	10:45	Sport 1
Vietnam	14:45	FPT Play
International	07:45	Sport 1 Baltic


	Melbourne City		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.4	1.88
	3.65	3.65	1.88	Watch
	3.76	3.33	1.96	Watch
	3.84	3.68	1.92	Watch
	3.71	3.19	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)	3.45 ↓ (3.65)	1.89 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
24.4%

Draw
26.8%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28%

26.1%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	42.9%	57.1%

Melbourne City - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Hiroshima (2.06) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Melbourne City (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Hiroshima (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beach P. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 22. Ferreyra G. 26. Souprayen S. 16. Behich A. (C) 7. Leckie M. 27. Trewin K. 30. Kuen A. 10. Kanamori T. 17. Caputo M. 47. Rahmani K.	1. Osako K. (G) 19. Sasaki S. (C) 4. Araki H. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Tanaka S. 24. Higashi S. 35. Nakajima Y. 10. Marcos Junior 17. Kinoshita K.
Substitutes
48. Baker M. 4. Bonetig L. 52. Cartwright A. 39. Durakovic E. 45. Kalms R. 44. Kutleshi B. 53. Mackintosh A. 20. Mazzeo B. 33. Ochsenham D. (G) 19. Schreiber Z. 36. Shillington H. 41. Wong L.	13. Arai N. 30. Arslan T. 25. Chajima Y. 38. Hill C. (G) 26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 51. Kato M. 45. Kobayashi S. 32. Koshimichi S. 41. Maeda N. 33. Shiotani T. 18. Suga D. 3. Yamasaki T.
Coaches
Vidmar A.	Skibbe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Higashi S. 🟨,
43', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Leckie M. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
46', Higashi S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Marcos Junior (Pen),
62', Kim Ju-Sung 🟨,
63', Araki H. 🟨,
67', Marcos Junior ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
67', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Shiotani T. ↑,
76', Rahmani K. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
77', Atkinson N. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
77', Kuen A. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Nakajima Y. ⚽, Nakano S. (A),
83', Nakajima Y. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
87', Caputo M. ↓, Wong L. ↑,

Preview

Hiroshima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hiroshima is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.96%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City
Australian Cup
30.07.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Melbourne City	2:0 ✺
Australian A-League
31.05.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Melbourne City - Western United	1:1 ✺
16.05.25	Western United - Melbourne City	0:3 ✺
03.05.25	Melbourne City - Sydney	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTWW
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
12.09.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
07.09.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare	4:1 ✺
03.09.25	Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.08.25	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
27.08.25	Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLTW

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