Match Info

National League - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Oldham Athletic		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2	3.1	3.2
	2.21	3.35	3.15
	2.13	3.5	3.39
	2.21	3.36	3.19	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.3
	2.2	3.48	3.06
	2.21	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.21)	3.34 ↓ (3.43)	3.19 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
43.2%

Draw
27.7%

Hartlepool United
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Oldham Athletic - Hartlepool United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 10. Conlon T. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 26. Harratt K. 5. Hobson S. 3. Kitching M. 4. Pett T. 16. Raglan C. 21. Sutton W. 28. Yoganathan V.	40. Smith A. (G) 11. Charman L. 19. Cleary R. 20. Dieseruvwe E. 3. Ferguson D. 12. Grey J. 9. Madine G. 18. Miley J. 4. Parkes T. (C) 17. Sass-Davies B. 14. Sheron N.
Substitutes
31. Donaghy T. (G) 24. Evans C. 14. Garner J. 27. Hammond O. 8. Lundstram J. 15. Rossiter J. 17. Uchegbulam J.	10. Campbell A. 22. Darcy C. 16. Featherstone N. 27. Folarin S. 34. Foreman K. 28. Ombang D. (G) 5. Waterfall L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Ferguson D. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Raglan C. ⚽,
44', Pett T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Parkes T. ↓, Waterfall L. ↑,
50', Miley J. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
63', Fondop-Talum M. 🟨,
69', Cleary R. 🟨,
73', Charman L. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
73', Miley J. ↓, Featherstone N. ↑,
73', Madine G. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
76', Hobson S. 🟨,
84', Yoganathan V. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
84', Conlon T. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
90', Harratt K. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
90+4', Garner J. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oldham won 2.

Oldham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hartlepool is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oldham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Oldham won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.4:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Oldham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 1.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League
12.04.25	Yeovil Town - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Oldham Athletic - Woking	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Southend United - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Oldham Athletic - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Oldham Athletic - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWT
- Hartlepool United
English National League
12.04.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Hartlepool United - Ebbsfleet United	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hartlepool United - Boston United	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Hartlepool United - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
01.01.25	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	2:1
30.12.23	Oldham Athletic - Hartlepool United	2:0
26.12.23	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	1:3
English League Two
01.01.22	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	0:0
18.09.21	Oldham Athletic - Hartlepool United	0:0
English League One
19.03.13	Oldham Athletic - Hartlepool United	3:0
20.11.12	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	1:2

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