The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
York City 35.5%
Draw 24.9%
Rotherham United 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
25.7%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
25.9%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that York City's form might have worsened.
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rotherham United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rotherham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
York City - Rotherham United Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Rotherham (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - York (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 3 - 75%). Rotherham (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G) 32. Hunt J. 6. Palmer A. (C) 33. McArthur C. 23. Felix J. 26. Stiver E. 16. Read A. 4. Medley Z. 18. Malcolm J. 11. Maguire F. 20. Akinyemi D.
1. Cann T. (G) 2. Rafferty J. (C) 16. Adegboyega E. 26. Douglas H. 3. Otoo E. 17. Kaleta M. 8. Spence K. 15. Fitzgerald J. 24. Buyabu J. 7. Tavares F. 9. Bradshaw T.
Substitutes
36. Beadle L. 37. Belleh O. 25. Farrar B. 38. Ozisik L. 35. Swansbury I. 41. White C. (G) 42. Woolford O.
14. Aljofree S. 6. Ashley O. 4. Austerfield J. 13. Eyestone J. (G) 12. Hall D. 10. Mullin P. 23. Nemane A.
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Bruce A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Otoo E. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
43', Hunt J. ↓, Farrar B. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Medley Z. ⚽, Read A. (A),
45+7', Tavares F. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Spence K. ↓, Austerfield J. ↑,
50', Palmer A. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Buyabu J. ⚽, Kaleta M. (A),
70', Bradshaw T. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
70', Kaleta M. ↓, Ashley O. ↑,
72', Maguire F. ↓, Belleh O. ↑,
73', Felix J. ↓, Ozisik L. ↑,
90+1', Medley Z. ↓, Beadle L. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Read A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Mullin P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Akinyemi D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fitzgerald J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Stiver E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Rafferty J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Malcolm J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hall D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Farrar B. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Buyabu J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
York is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Rotherham has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
York may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with York holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, York has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 0.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for York against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals (averaging 0:1.5 per game).
Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now
Rotherham: 1.28% York City: 0.99%
Last Results with these Odds
York City - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Rotherham United - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.42%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.