Match Info

League Two - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Alexandra Stadium (Crewe)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Crewe Alexandra		York City

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.40	2.30	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.37
	2.50	3.30	2.50	Watch
	2.93	3.50	2.45
	2.7	3.39	2.47	Watch
	2.90	3.50	2.30
	2.87	3.39	2.34	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.4)	3.41 ↑ (3.32)	2.38 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
33.5%

Draw
27.4%

York City
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Crewe Alexandra - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). York will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for York: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. (C) 12. Stephenson J. 6. Offord L. 20. Agius C. 17. Holicek M. 10. White J. 3. Hutchinson R. 23. McNeill C. 9. March J. 7. Lankester J.	1. McNally A. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 24. Williams M. 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 8. Hunt A. 28. Banks O. 12. Boyes H. 7. Grey J. 30. Newby A. 10. Pearce O.
Substitutes
30. Dancey S. 5. Demetriou M. 14. Gibson J. 13. Lawlor I. (G) 11. Tabiner J. 29. Thibaut A. 4. Ure K.	17. Hewitt C. 15. King J. 18. Malcolm J. 33. McArthur C. 4. Medley Z. 16. Read A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)
Coaches
Bell L.	Lindsey S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Offord L. ⚽, Agius C. (A),
13', Banks O. 🟨,
29', Billington L. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Newby A. ⚽, Pearce O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Felix J. ↓, King J. ↑,
56', Grey J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
62', Holicek M. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
62', McNeill C. ↓, Tabiner J. ↑,
62', Lankester J. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
62', Hutchinson R. ↓, Demetriou M. ↑,
74', Hunt A. ↓, Read A. ↑,
83', White J. ↓, Ure K. ↑,
85', Pearce O. ↓, Hewitt C. ↑,
85', Newby A. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
90', Williams M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Crewe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O. (Inactive)

There will not play in York: Boateng H. (Inactive) Maguire F. (Inactive) Palmer A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in York: Akinyemi D. (Inactive) Hunt J. (Inactive) Johnson Z. (Injury) Stones J. (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of English League Two for now

York City: 11.59% Crewe: 3.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Crewe	10	4	6	0	12:7	5	18
5	York City	9	4	3	2	17:11	6	15

Last Results with these Odds

Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

York City - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
01.09.26	Crewe Alexandra - Walsall	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Barnsley - Crewe Alexandra	3:2 ✺
English League Two
22.08.26	Crewe Alexandra - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLWW
- York City
English League Two
01.09.26	Cheltenham Town - York City	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	York City - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Rotherham United - York City	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	York City - Bristol Rovers	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
03.08.26	York City - Crawley Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL

Upcoming Matches