Match Info

Super League - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)

Referee: San F. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Young Boys		Luzern

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.25	6.25	Watch
	1.43	5.25	5.50
	1.49	4.90	5.10
	1.47	5.43	6.03
	1.48	5.17	5.5	Watch
	1.45	5.20	5.80
	1.42	5.01	6.01	Watch
	1.42	5.60	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)	5.23 ↑ (4.47)	5.75 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Boys
65.5%

Draw
18.1%

Luzern
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

20.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

19.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Young Boys's performance.

Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luzern might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Young Boys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Young Boys - Luzern Predictions

Users Predictions: Young Boys will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keller M. (G) 27. Blum L. 30. Lauper S. 23. Benito L. (C) 22. Schmidt I. 16. Fassnacht C. 8. Gigovic A. 6. Fernandes E. 7. Virginius A. 10. Sanches A. 99. Essende S.	30. Letica K. (G) 22. Dantas Fernandes R. 13. Freimann B. H. 46. Freimann B. 14. Ciganiks A. 24. Owusu T. 80. Zimmermann M. 6. Bertone L. 11. Di Giusto M. (C) 19. Mikolajewski D. 15. Toggenburger N.
Substitutes
33. Bukinac S. 34. Etoski E. 12. Guirassy H. 17. Janko S. 18. Mall J. (G) 13. Pech D. 9. Sene M. K. 52. Tschanz N. 54. Ubaka S.	18. Bongeli F. 5. Knezevic S. 21. Luthi L. 7. Oehlers A. 10. Silva L. 1. Simoni S. (G) 27. Villiger L. 29. Winkler L. 17. Wyss S.
Coaches
Seoane G.	Portmann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Essende S. ⚽, Sanches A. (A),
29', Zimmermann M. 🟨,
32', Schmidt I. 🟨,
39', Fernandes E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Toggenburger N. ↓, Bongeli F. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Ciganiks A. ⚽, Mikolajewski D. (A),
49', 1 - 2, Ciganiks A. ⚽, Mikolajewski D. (A),
52', 2 - 2, Essende S. ⚽, Sanches A. (A),
57', Virginius A. ↓, Etoski E. ↑,
57', Fernandes E. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
57', Schmidt I. ↓, Bukinac S. ↑,
62', Essende S. 🟨,
63', Pech D. 🟨,
65', 2 - 3, Di Giusto M. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Fassnacht C. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
73', Freimann B. H. 🟨,
78', Bongeli F. 🟨,
81', Freimann B. H. ↓, Luthi L. ↑,
82', Zimmermann M. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
82', Owusu T. ↓, Wyss S. ↑,
85', Gigovic A. ↓, Guirassy H. ↑,
88', 3 - 3, Sene M. K. ⚽, Guirassy H. (A),
90', Freimann B. 🟨,
90+2', Mikolajewski D. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
90+6', Di Giusto M. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 4.

Young Boys is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Luzern has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Luzern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Young Boys is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Young Boys: Andrews R. (Muscle Injury) Conte F. (Knee Injury) Kabeya B. (Injury) Zesiger C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Luzern: Bieler J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Luzern: Dorn P. (Inactive)

We predict that Young Boys will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 49:29. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:11. (average 3.2:1.1).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Young Boys: 25.06% Luzern: 1.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31:18	13	19
6	Luzern	9	3	3	3	17:18	-1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Young Boys - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
01.09.26	Zürich - Young Boys	2:4 ✺
29.08.26	Young Boys - Basel	3:3 ✺
23.08.26	Young Boys - Vaduz	4:2 ✺
08.08.26	Lausanne-Sport - Young Boys	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Thun - Young Boys	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWTW
- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
02.09.26	Luzern - Vaduz	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Servette - Luzern	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	St. Gallen - Luzern	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Sion - Luzern	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
04.03.26	Luzern - Young Boys	1:2
14.12.25	Young Boys - Luzern	2:0
14.09.25	Luzern - Young Boys	1:2
15.05.25	Young Boys - Luzern	2:1
13.04.25	Luzern - Young Boys	5:0
23.11.24	Luzern - Young Boys	1:1
19.10.24	Young Boys - Luzern	2:1

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