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Current Win Probability
Ypiranga 48%
Draw 32.8%
EC São José Porto Alegre 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
31%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
32.6%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Ypiranga - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Ze Carlos (G) 2. Cleiton 22. Walce 3. Willian Gomes (C) 6. Nicolas 27. Dionisio 5. Rian 7. Felipe Ferreira 11. Estevao 80. Marcelinho 9. Renan Gorne
1. Fabio Rampi (C) 13. Tiago Pedra 4. Diney 3. Eduardo Melo 24. William 14. Rafael Carillho 5. Keverton 8. Ze Vitor 6. Angelo 11. Ronald Barcellos 20. Andrey Nunes
Substitutes
41. Adilson Junior 20. Dudu 12. Edu (G) 29. Gabriel Werner (G) 28. Gustavo Simoes 17. Henrique 21. Lucas Fogaca 16. Lucas Ramos 15. Mago 10. Marlone 43. Ramon Vinicius 4. Reinaldo
7. Caua 22. Dieter 9. Douglas Oliveira 10. Evaristo 16. Gustavo Bagatini 17. Gustavo Lino 21. Lucao 18. Lucas Grafite 19. Pedrinho 12. Peralta A. (G) 15. Raphael Soares
Coaches
Raul Cabral
Gabardo Junior
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Ronald Barcellos ⚽, Andrey Nunes (A),
45+3', Ze Vitor 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marcelinho ↓, Gustavo Simoes ↑,
46', Nicolas ↓, Lucas Ramos ↑,
49', Fabio Rampi 🟨,
52', Gustavo Simoes 🟨,
63', Estevao ↓, Marlone ↑,
64', Dionisio 🟨,
66', Ronald Barcellos 🟨,
67', Ronald Barcellos ↓, Caua ↑,
67', Andrey Nunes ↓, Lucas Grafite ↑,
67', Rafael Carillho ↓, Evaristo ↑,
72', William 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Cleiton ⚽, Dionisio (A),
79', Angelo ↓, Raphael Soares ↑,
79', William ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
82', Felipe Ferreira ↓, Lucas Fogaca ↑,
84', Renan Gorne ↓, Henrique ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Ypiranga is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).