Match Info

Gaucho - Round 5

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Francisco Novelletto Neto (Porto Alegre)


	EC São José Porto Alegre		Caxias

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3	2.4
	2.88	2.92	2.52
	2.98	2.88	2.49
	3	2.91	2.55
	2.88	2.7	2.45
	3.01	2.79	2.49	Watch
	3.1	2.85	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.55)	2.87 ↑ (2.76)	2.49 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
31%

Draw
32.1%

Caxias
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

32.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

EC São José Porto Alegre - Caxias Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. EC São José will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Caxias (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Caxias (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio Rampi (C) 3. Eduardo Melo 13. Tiago Pedra 4. Diney 24. William 14. Rafael Carillho 10. Gabriel Lima 8. Ze Vitor 6. Angelo 11. Ronald Barcellos 20. Andrey Nunes	1. Leo Lang (G) 2. Ronei 3. Joilson 4. Mauricio Ribeiro 6. Roberto 8. Lucas Candido 5. Breno Santos 11. Calyson 10. Yann Rolim 7. Douglas Skilo 9. Gustavo Nescau
Substitutes
7. Caua 2. Dieter 9. Douglas Oliveira 16. Gustavo Bagatini 22. Gustavo Lino 17. Ivo 5. Keverton 21. Lucao 18. Lucas Grafite 19. Pedrinho 12. Peralta A. (G) 15. Raphael Soares	18. Andrew 15. Carlos Henrique 14. Dija 23. Gabriel Toebe (G) 17. Jeam 12. Marcelo (G) 21. Matheus Nunes 20. Tomas Bastos 16. Vitinho 19. Vitor Feijao 13. Windson
Coaches
Gabardo Junior	Fernando Marchiori

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Gabriel Lima 🟨,
24', Breno Santos 🟨,
31', Roberto ↓, Vitinho ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Andrey Nunes ⚽, Fabio Rampi (A),
60', Andrey Nunes ↓, Lucas Grafite ↑,
65', William ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
66', Gabriel Lima ↓, Keverton ↑,
69', Calyson ↓, Jeam ↑,
70', Yann Rolim ↓, Tomas Bastos ↑,
70', Breno Santos ↓, Vitor Feijao ↑,
72', Tomas Bastos 🟨,
78', Ronald Barcellos ↓, Douglas Oliveira ↑,
78', Angelo ↓, Raphael Soares ↑,
78', Lucas Candido ↓, Matheus Nunes ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 1.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.01.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Monsoon	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Novo Hamburgo - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Inter Santa Maria	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Goiatuba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LTWTL
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.01.26	Juventude - Caxias	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Caxias - Guarany de Bagé	4:1 ✺
14.01.26	Caxias - Avenida	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	São Luiz - Caxias	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Caxias - Floresta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
15.02.25	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
28.07.24	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.03.24	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0
15.02.24	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:2
26.01.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Caxias	1:1
30.01.22	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1
04.03.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Caxias	0:1

EC São José Porto Alegre - Caxias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide