Match Info

Super League - Round 28

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Letzigrund Stadion (Zürich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	20:30	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Zürich		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.8	1.81	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.3
	3.55	3.65	1.9
	4.03	3.95	1.9
	3.76	3.94	1.88	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.83
	3.71	3.82	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.85)	3.77 ↑ (3.62)	1.93 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zürich
26.1%

Draw
25%

Lausanne-Sport
48.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zürich's form might have worsened.

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lausanne-Sport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zürich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lausanne-Sport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	16%	56%

Zürich - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Zürich will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 14 - 56%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huber S. (G) 22. Kablan C. 35. Vujevic D. 42. Hack A. 44. Walker S. 11. Emmanuel U. 6. Tsawa C. 15. Palacio N. 8. Cavaleiro I. 29. Reverson D. 19. Keny P. P. (C)	25. Letica K. (G) 2. Soppy B. 14. Mouanga K. 71. Sow K. 18. Poaty M. 10. Custodio O. (C) 11. Butler-Oyedeji N. 16. Beloko N. 27. Lekoueiry B. 78. Janneh O. 70. Diakite G.
Substitutes
23. Berisha V. 25. Brecher Y. (G) 14. Di Giusto N. 47. Fischer P. 48. Ihendu K. 7. Krasniqi B. 9. Perea J. 38. Reichmuth M. 27. Sauter I.	7. Ajdini A. 6. Bergvall T. 1. Castella T. (G) 93. Fofana S. 22. Kana-Biyik E. 80. Kone S. 54. Lippo R. 38. Sigua G. 17. Traore S.
Coaches
Hediger D.	Zeidler P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Walker S. 🟨,
32', Tsawa C. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Janneh O. ⚽, Custodio O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Emmanuel U. ↓, Di Giusto N. ↑,
46', Kablan C. ↓, Berisha V. ↑,
64', Keny P. P. 🟨,
64', Soppy B. 🟨,
66', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
70', Butler-Oyedeji N. 🟨,
71', Reverson D. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Cavaleiro I. ⚽,
76', Butler-Oyedeji N. ↓, Kana-Biyik E. ↑,
76', Beloko N. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
83', Walker S. ↓, Sauter I. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Sow K. ⚽,
90+3', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Fischer P. ↑,
90+4', Diakite G. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 2.

Recent performances by Zürich have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lausanne-Sport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lausanne-Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lausanne-Sport might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Zürich: Comenencia L. (Injury) Kamberi L. (Red Card) Phaeton M. (Inactive) Reichmuth M. (Inactive) Volken N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Abdallah H. (Knee Injury) Bair T. (Knee Injury) N'Diaye S. (Shoulder Injury) Roche J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Zurich	11	5	2	4	20:23	-3	17
12	Lausanne	11	1	3	7	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Zurich: 2.04% Lausanne: 0.35%

Last Results with these Odds

Lausanne-Sport - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.73%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zürich
Swiss Super League
01.03.26	Young Boys - Zürich	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Grasshoppers - Zürich	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Zürich - Luzern	1:4 ✺
11.02.26	Zürich - Winterthur	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Basel - Zürich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
01.03.26	Lausanne-Sport - Basel	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Lausanne-Sport - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
22.02.26	Lugano - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Sigma Olomouc - Lausanne-Sport	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
15.02.26	Lausanne-Sport - Servette	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
01.11.25	Zürich - Lausanne-Sport	1:2
10.08.25	Lausanne-Sport - Zürich	1:2
02.04.25	Zürich - Lausanne-Sport	2:2
08.12.24	Lausanne-Sport - Zürich	3:0
11.08.24	Zürich - Lausanne-Sport	2:0
13.04.24	Lausanne-Sport - Zürich	1:0
31.01.24	Zürich - Lausanne-Sport	2:2

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