Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Legia II

	1	X	2
	1.64	4.02	4.12
				Watch
	1.61	4	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.46)	4.01 ↓ (4.33)	4.29 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
56%

Draw
22.7%

Legia II
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

20%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Legia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
48', 3 - 1, ⚽,
49', 3 - 2, ⚽,
58', 4 - 2, ⚽,
61', 4 - 3, ⚽,
81', 5 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Legia II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legia II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zagłębie Sosnowiec have a series of guest games.

In this match Zagłębie Sosnowiec is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Miedź Legnica - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
05.07.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - St. Pölten	2:3 ✺
02.07.24	Amstetten - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:5 ✺
29.06.24	Hradec Králové - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.05.24	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWTL
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.06.24	GKS Bełchatów - Legia II	3:2 ✺
01.06.24	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	5:1 ✺
25.05.24	Legionovia Legionowo - Legia II	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Legia II - Wikielec	1:0 ✺
15.05.24	Warta Sieradz - Legia II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTWL

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