The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zamora 21.3%
Draw 26.9%
Academia Anzoátegui 51.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.9%
28.4%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
27.6%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zamora's form might have worsened.
Academia Anzoátegui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Academia Anzoátegui's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+22.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (-24%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Academia Anzoátegui, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
Zamora - Academia Anzoátegui Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Anzoátegui will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Paredes E. (G) 40. Valladares I. 13. Matos A. 25. Mosquera J. 28. Exime J. 7. Gallardo E. 27. Diaz Moreno C. M. 8. Flores A. (C) 38. Sinisterra J. 9. Flores J. 30. Torrealba S.
1. Hernandez W. (G) 2. Bonilla P. 14. Bueno D. 22. Guevara D. 16. Silgado J. 7. Marin G. 5. Pacheco J. 8. Ruiz E. 77. Barrios C. 19. Tegues D. 9. Ortiz C. (C)
Substitutes
2. Gomez S. 77. Jimenez N. 5. Leon A. 11. Manrique H. 6. Moreno J. 18. Rivas A. 4. Rodriguez B. 80. Ruiz F. 10. Sequera J. 12. Sulbaran Briceno I. J. (G) 20. Sulbaran S.
13. Aguero J. (G) 20. Castellano J. 24. Cermeno C. 15. Diciolla G. 6. Kafrouni A. 18. Lovera J. 3. Lujano C. 55. Moreno A. 11. Navas E. 45. Perez P. 70. Rojas P. 99. Sinza F.
Coaches
Ortiz J.
Zuleta M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Marin G. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Gallardo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Diaz Moreno C. M. ↓, Sulbaran S. ↑,
57', Barrios C. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
57', Ruiz E. ↓, Navas E. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Navas E. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Torrealba S. ↓, Manrique H. ↑,
64', Gallardo E. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
70', Exime J. ↓, Sequera J. ↑,
72', Tegues D. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
76', Sinisterra J. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
81', Bueno D. ↓, Lujano C. ↑,
81', Marin G. ↓, Sinza F. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Navas E. ⚽, Lovera J. (A),
90+4', 1 - 2, Valladares I. ⚽, Flores J. (A),
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 13th and 14th).
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Zamora may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Zamora has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zamora against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
Academia Anzoátegui - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 28.72%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.