Match Info

Date: 1 July 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Futbol de Lara (Barquisimeto)


	Deportivo Lara		Universidad Central

	1	X	2
	1.68	3	5.25
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.69	3	5.4
	1.81	2.78	5.03
	1.83	2.9	4.8
	1.84	3.13	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.94)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)	4.89 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Lara
51.1%

Draw
30.4%

Universidad Central
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

29.7%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	45.8%	12.5%

Deportivo Lara - Universidad Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Universidad Central will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Universidad Central could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo Lara will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.06.22	Carabobo - Deportivo Lara	2:2 ✺
09.06.22	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
05.06.22	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	3:1 ✺
26.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Universidad Central - Deportivo Lara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLWT
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.06.22	Universidad Central - Caracas	1:0 ✺
10.06.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Universidad Central	3:0 ✺
04.06.22	Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2 ✺
29.05.22	Caracas - Universidad Central	1:2 ✺
21.05.22	Universidad Central - Deportivo Lara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
21.05.22	Universidad Central - Deportivo Lara	0:0

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