Match Info

Date: 17 June 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado (Valencia)

Referee: Tovar A. (Ven)


	Carabobo		Deportivo Lara

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	1.86	2.9	4.1
	1.97	2.85	3.95
	1.93	2.85	4.09
	1.91	2.75	4.6
	1.96	3.18	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.17)	2.91 ↓ (2.92)	4.12 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabobo
46.9%

Draw
31.2%

Deportivo Lara
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

31.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

32.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Deportivo Lara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	46.2%	15.4%

Carabobo - Deportivo Lara Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carabobo won 1.

Recent matches Carabobo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Lara is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Lara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carabobo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Carabobo won 14 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 42-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Carabobo won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.06.22	Caracas - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
03.06.22	Carabobo - Caracas	0:0 ✺
26.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
22.05.22	Carabobo - Deportivo La Guaira	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLWT
- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.06.22	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
05.06.22	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	3:1 ✺
26.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Universidad Central - Deportivo Lara	0:0 ✺
12.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
26.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	1:0
19.09.21	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	2:1
30.07.21	Carabobo - Deportivo Lara	2:0
10.06.21	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	0:0
22.04.21	Carabobo - Deportivo Lara	1:1
09.12.20	Carabobo - Deportivo Lara	0:3
08.11.20	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	2:2

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