Match Info

Date: 9 June 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Futbol de Lara (Barquisimeto)

Referee: Delgado Y. (Ven)


	Deportivo Lara		Metropolitanos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	3	Watch
	2.43	2.7	2.9
	2.37	3	2.8
	2.35	2.78	3.07
	2.35	2.88	3.1
	2.38	3.18	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.63)	2.92 ↑ (2.74)	2.98 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Lara
38.5%

Draw
31.1%

Metropolitanos
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

33.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

33.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.8%	51.2%	22%

Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). Metropolitanos will win (votes: 9 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 51.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 66.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 3.

Deportivo Lara is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Metropolitanos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Lara won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.06.22	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	3:1 ✺
26.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Universidad Central - Deportivo Lara	0:0 ✺
12.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	0:2 ✺
05.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLL
- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.06.22	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	3:1 ✺
29.05.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.22	Lanús - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.05.22	Metropolitanos - Aragua	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.22	Metropolitanos - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
05.06.22	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	3:1
29.09.19	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	1:0
06.04.19	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	0:0
28.10.18	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	2:1
19.05.18	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	0:2
06.08.17	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	0:0
10.02.17	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	2:0

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