Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 10

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: La Romareda (Zaragoza)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4


	Zaragoza		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.1	4.2
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.23	4.81
	1.9	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.86	3.25	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.79)	3.18 ↓ (3.37)	4.48 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
49.3%

Draw
29.6%

Alcorcón
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

27.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27.3%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Zaragoza - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: Zaragoza will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Poussin G. (G) 18. Gamez F. 15. Mourino S. 3. Jair 22. Lecoeuche Q. 7. Valera G. 21. Moya T. 5. Grau J. 19. Vallejo M. 12. Bakis S. 9. Azon I.	1. Ruiz J. (G) 17. Garcia V. 6. Babin J. 23. Chema 3. Morillas D. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 5. Mosquera P. 10. Juanma Bravo 15. Lara J. 26. Addai E. 9. Borrego C.
Substitutes
36. Acin G. (G) 8. Aguado M. 10. Bermejo 38. Borge A. 23. Enrich S. 6. Frances A. 24. Lopez L. 27. Luna M. 11. Mesa M. 20. Mollejo V. 35. Rebollo D. (G) 26. Vaquero	13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 7. Bustos A. 29. Callis E. 2. Castro J. 18. Eteki Y. 14. Lopez A. 21. Obieta K. 8. Rodriganez J.
Coaches
Escriba F.	Fernandez F.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 1.

Recent matches Zaragoza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcorcón is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zaragoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zaragoza is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.23	FC Andorra - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Zaragoza - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
25.09.23	Ferrol - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Cartagena - Zaragoza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLTW
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.23	Alcorcón - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Alcorcón - Huesca	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Alcorcón - Levante	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.05.22	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:3
05.09.21	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	1:2
22.02.21	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.21	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.20	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	0:0
13.06.20	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	1:3
08.09.19	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	0:3

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