Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Ibercaja Stadium (Zaragoza)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5
Argentina	DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DSports 6
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Zaragoza		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.9	Watch
	2.1	3	3.6	Watch
	2.17	3.13	3.9
	2.14	3.14	3.75	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.21	3.13	3.7
	2.1	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.42)	3.05 ↓ (3.11)	3.74 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
44.2%

Draw
30.8%

Cádiz
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zaragoza's performance.

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cádiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zaragoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Zaragoza - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Cádiz will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Zaragoza (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Zaragoza (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rodriguez A. (G) 20. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Insua P. 16. Radovanovic A. 15. Pomares C. 10. Guti R. 6. Bare K. (C) 17. Moyano F. 7. Soberon M. 21. Valery 19. Kodro K.	13. Aznar V. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 2. Moreno J. 6. Ortega I. 21. Climent M. 19. de la Rosa J. 5. Diakite M. 15. Ortuno S. 10. Ocampo B. 9. Marti R. 17. Camara D.
Substitutes
32. Barrachina H. 11. Bazdar S. 14. Francho 36. Gomes A. 9. Gomez D. 8. Moya T. 35. Obon (G) 31. Pinilla H. 2. Sebastian J. 5. Tachi 3. Tasende D. 34. Terrer L.	29. Almagro S. 18. Diarra Y. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 22. Ontiveros J. 23. Pascual A. 33. Pereira R. 12. Tabatadze I. 7. Ugiagbe E.
Coaches
Selles R.	Garitano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Aguirregabiria M. ↓, Sebastian J. ↑,
28', Marti R. 🟨,
34', Ortega I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Radovanovic A. (Own goal),
59', Valery ↓, Tachi ↑,
59', Pomares C. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Diakite M. ⚽, Ortuno S. (A),
69', de la Rosa J. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
69', Marti R. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
69', Ocampo B. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
70', Diakite M. 🟨,
71', Moyano F. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
71', Kodro K. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Tachi ⚽, Tasende D. (A),
79', Climent M. 🟨,
84', Carcelen I. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Tachi 🟨,
90', Soberon M. 🟨,
90+3', Ortuno S. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
90+5', Tasende D. 🟨,
90+5', Caicedo A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1.

Zaragoza is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cádiz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zaragoza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Andrada E. (Yellow Cards) Bakis S. (Red Card) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Injury) Pomares C. (Yellow Cards) Saidu Y. (Ankle Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Kovacevic B. (Injury) Ontiveros J. (Injury) Suso (Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Soberon M. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Zaragoza - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.58%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Zaragoza - Huesca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TLWWW
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.25	Cádiz - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Real Murcia - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Córdoba - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Cádiz - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Almería - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.02.25	Zaragoza - Cádiz	0:0
16.08.24	Cádiz - Zaragoza	0:4
02.02.20	Cádiz - Zaragoza	1:1
06.10.19	Zaragoza - Cádiz	0:2
08.04.19	Cádiz - Zaragoza	3:3
30.11.18	Zaragoza - Cádiz	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.10.18	Zaragoza - Cádiz	0:1

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