Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 31

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: La Romareda (Zaragoza)

Referee: Monescillo D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Portugal	Eleven Sports 5


	Zaragoza		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.88	3	Watch
	2.5	2.75	3
	2.5	2.95	3
	2.78	2.88	3.06
	2.71	2.79	3.06
	2.66	2.9	2.99	Watch
	2.6	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.86)	2.85 ↓ (3.25)	3.02 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
35.8%

Draw
33%

Espanyol
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.7%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espanyol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espanyol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	57.9%	15.8%

Zaragoza - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Espanyol will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Badia E. (G) 15. Mourino S. 6. Frances A. 3. Jair 22. Lecoeuche Q. 14. Francho 21. Moya T. 7. Valera G. 11. Mesa M. 20. Mollejo V. 12. Bakis S.	1. Garcia J. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 6. Cabrera L. 4. Ruiz V. 14. Olivan B. 24. Sanchez R. 8. Bare K. 15. Gragera J. 18. Aguado A. 22. Braithwaite M. 7. Puado J.
Substitutes
8. Aguado M. 9. Azon I. 23. Enrich S. 18. Gamez F. 5. Grau J. 33. Liso A. 24. Lopez L. 13. Poussin G. (G) 35. Rebollo D. (G) 19. Vallejo M. 2. Zedadka A.	9. Balde K. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 2. Gil O. 3. Gomez S. 17. Jofre 16. Lazo J. 10. Lozano P. 21. Melamed N. 11. Milla P. . Serred L.
Coaches
Fernandez V.	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Puado J. ⚽, Olivan B. (A),
27', Sanchez R. ↓, Jofre ↑,
31', Olivan B. 🟨,
36', Ruiz V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Braithwaite M. ↓, Milla P. ↑,
58', Garcia J. 🟨,
66', Bakis S. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
66', Mollejo V. ↓, Liso A. ↑,
69', El Hilali O. 🟨,
72', Ruiz V. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
72', Aguado A. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
79', Olivan B. ↓, Gil O. ↑,
87', Francho ↓, Aguado M. ↑,
90+1', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Gamez F. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 1.

Zaragoza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Espanyol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zaragoza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
09.03.24	Valladolid - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Zaragoza - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Villarreal B - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
16.02.24	Zaragoza - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
10.03.24	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Espanyol - Huesca	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Eibar - Espanyol	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Espanyol - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Racing Santander - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.23	Espanyol - Zaragoza	1:1
08.05.21	Zaragoza - Espanyol	0:0
29.11.20	Espanyol - Zaragoza	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
26.01.13	Zaragoza - Espanyol	0:0
25.08.12	Espanyol - Zaragoza	1:2
Club Friendly
11.08.12	Zaragoza - Espanyol	N/A

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