The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zaragoza 61.4%
Draw 24.6%
Lugo 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
30.4%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
31.9%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zaragoza's performance.
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zaragoza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.3%
15.4%
12.3%
Zaragoza - Lugo Predictions
Users Predictions:
65 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 47 - 72.3%). Lugo will win (votes: 8 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 61.4% – 83.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Zaragoza has the most likely position - 7 (5.94%), has project points - 59, has currently - 2, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Lugo has the most likely position - 21 (9.38%), has project points - 48, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality30, small importance29, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 3.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Zaragoza have a series of guest games.
In this match Zaragoza is a favorite.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.
Croatia
Finland
Portugal
Slovenia
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