Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leonesa		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.35	2.15
	3.38	3.5	2.23
	3.21	3.54	2.18	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.15
	3.23	3.54	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.82)	3.46 ↓ (3.47)	2.16 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
29.2%

Draw
27.2%

Racing Santander
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.2%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.1%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Santander, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Leonesa - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Leonesa (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 50%). Racing (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 28. Ojeda T. 23. Diallo Selu M. 17. Calero I. 10. Chacon L. 11. Moreno V. 9. Justo M.	1. Ezkieta J. (G) 5. Castro J. 4. Manu 16. Gonzalez F. 3. Garcia M. 23. Rodriguez D. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. (C) 7. Guliashvili G.
Substitutes
12. Al Amin H. 1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 5. Fornos Q. 8. Gonzalez Y. 6. Maestre S. 16. Ribeiro T. 2. Rodriguez P. 3. Satrustegui E. 19. Sobrino R. 20. Tresaco R.	8. Aldasoro A. 20. Camara S. 44. Chino 13. Eriksson S. (G) 43. Franco S. 14. Gueye M. 36. Martinez S. 17. Mata J. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 32. Salinas J. 15. Sangalli M. 12. Villalibre A.
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Martin A. ⚽, Canales P. (A),
45+1', Garcia V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Moreno V. ↓, Tresaco R. ↑,
46', Justo M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
55', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Calero I. ⚽, Collado D. (A),
65', Guliashvili G. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
65', Castro J. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
65', Garcia M. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
76', Barzic M. 🟨,
78', Rodriguez D. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Martin A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
88', Ojeda T. 🟨,
88', Martin A. 🟨,
89', Vicente I. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
90+2', Ojeda T. ↓, Al Amin H. ↑,
90+2', Garcia V. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 2.

Recent form of Leonesa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Racing is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Racing might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Leonesa: Radoja N. (Injury) Ribeiro L. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Inactive) Lozano M. (Knee Injury) Mantilla A. (Injury) Ramon P. (Hamstring Injury) Villalibre A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
09.03.26	Almería - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Leonesa - Las Palmas	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Leganés - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Leonesa - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Málaga - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTL
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.26	Racing Santander - Córdoba	4:3 ✺
28.02.26	Castellón - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Racing Santander - Burgos	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.09.25	Racing Santander - Leonesa	2:4
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Racing Santander - Leonesa	1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.22	Racing Santander - Leonesa	4:0
07.11.21	Leonesa - Racing Santander	3:0
Club Friendly
11.08.18	Leonesa - Racing Santander	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.03.17	Leonesa - Racing Santander	0:0
29.10.16	Racing Santander - Leonesa	1:1

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