Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 29

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Zarya		Rubin Yalta

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.55	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.54)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	1.9 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarya
25.3%

Draw
26%

Rubin Yalta
48.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rubin Yalta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Zarya aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Zarya - Rubin Yalta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Purak V. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 5th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Zarya has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rubin Yalta holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Zarya has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rubin Yalta	27	13	7	7	40:27	13	46
10	Lugansk	27	8	6	13	36:38	-2	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
17.10.26	Druzhba Maykop - Zarya	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Zarya - Nart Cherkessk	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	FC Sevastopol - Zarya	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Chayka 2 - Zarya	1:5 ✺
12.09.26	Rostov 2 - Zarya	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLLWW
- Rubin Yalta
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
18.10.26	Rubin Yalta - Astrakhan	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Rubin Yalta	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Rubin Yalta - Chayka 2	4:0 ✺
26.09.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
22.09.26	FC Sevastopol - Rubin Yalta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
02.05.26	Rubin Yalta - Zarya	3:0

Zarya - Rubin Yalta