Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Abdullaev B. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport, Sport+


	Zhenis		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.15	2.62	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.52
	2.56	3.27	2.56	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.71	3.24	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.33)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	2.56 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhenis
35.1%

Draw
29.1%

Aktobe
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

28.9%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhenis's performance.

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aktobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhenis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aktobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Zhenis - Aktobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zhenis will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aktobe will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Plotnikov M. (G) 4. Bystrov M. 5. Tevzadze Z. 13. Tursynbay S. 14. Saulet A. 7. Kuat I. (C) 88. Martins G. 72. Askarov M. 19. Adilio 93. Elder Santana 10. Imnadze L.	16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 31. Tanzharikov A. 18. Ordets I. (C) 23. Erlanov T. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 7. Sosah D. 21. Alvarez P. 30. Korzun N. 14. Pibe 17. Nani 11. Shushenachev A.
Substitutes
17. Adilov A. 30. Gorobchenko N. 45. Iyede S. 21. Kamaradinov B. 8. Khaseyn M. 9. Lobjanidze E. 18. Madelkhan B. 52. Merkel A. 63. Saravanja I. 77. Shanshar N. (G) 1. Sotnik I. (G) 23. Ulshin A.	80. Kenesov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 4. Kusyapov T. 19. Laturnus V. 22. Seydakhmet E. 12. Topalov D. 49. Toregali N. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 10. Zeljkovic A. 20. Zhukov G.
Coaches
Aliyev A.	Tarkovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Tanzharikov A. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Tursynbay S. ⚽,
44', Nani 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pibe ↓, Mitrovic D. ↑,
46', Dosmagambetov T. ↓, Topalov D. ↑,
64', Kuat I. 🟨,
70', Ordets I. 🟨,
71', Nani ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
81', Saulet A. 🟨,
83', Alvarez P. ↓, Zhukov G. ↑,
83', Tanzharikov A. ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
87', Bystrov M. ↓, Khaseyn M. ↑,
90+4', Saulet A. ↓, Adilov A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).

Zhenis is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aktobe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zhenis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aktobe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhenis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
12.04.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhenis	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Zhenis - Okzhetpes	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Atyrau - Zhenis	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Zhenis - Ordabasy	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Kaisar - Zhenis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTLT
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
12.04.26	Aktobe - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
09.04.26	Arys - Aktobe	0:4 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.26	Ulytau - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Aktobe - Yelimay Semey	1:4 ✺
16.03.26	Kairat - Aktobe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
03.08.25	Aktobe - Zhenis	0:1
03.05.25	Zhenis - Aktobe	0:1
Kazakh Cup
13.04.25	Zhenis - Aktobe	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
04.08.24	Zhenis - Aktobe	1:2
31.03.24	Aktobe - Zhenis	3:0

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