Match Info

Division 1 - Round 25

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Znicz Pruszków		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.07	3.35	3.5	Watch
	2.14	3.23	3.48	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.1	3.48	3.28	Watch
	2.07	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.34)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	3.38 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
44.3%

Draw
28.3%

Warta Poznań
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Znicz Pruszków - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Znicz will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Warta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Znicz: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Misztal P. (C) 11. Moskwik P. 26. Kendzia F. 99. Koprowski O. 14. Okhronchuk V. 29. Borecki M. 80. Plewka P. 30. Nowak W. 7. Sokol D. 21. Stanclik D. 9. Majewski R.	1. Kajzer D. (G) 20. Szeliga B. (C) 2. Bartkowski J. 44. Markov I. 27. Przybylko K. 7. Gaska D. 5. Tkachuk Y. 26. Michalski K. 10. Zurawski M. 65. Shibata S. 11. Drzazga K.
Substitutes
10. Ciepiela B. 44. Gora L. 13. Imai K. 19. Karol M. 17. Kazimierczak A. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 8. Proczek T. 77. Romanowski P. 22. Tabara K.	18. Feliks M. 9. Firlej M. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 15. Kopczynski M. 12. Oleniak B. (G) 34. Plesnierowicz W. 32. Rajsel N. 77. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T.
Coaches
Szoka G.	Tarasiewicz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Tkachuk Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Okhronchuk V. 🟨,
61', Okhronchuk V. ↓, Ciepiela B. ↑,
61', Borecki M. ↓, Gora L. ↑,
61', Zurawski M. ↓, Kopczynski M. ↑,
69', Drzazga K. ↓, Feliks M. ↑,
69', Stanclik D. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
69', Majewski R. ↓, Kazimierczak A. ↑,
78', Moskwik P. ↓, Karol M. ↑,
79', Gaska D. ↓, Plesnierowicz W. ↑,
79', Przybylko K. ↓, Walus F. ↑,
82', Bartkowski J. 🟨,
86', Tabara K. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).

Znicz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Warta has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Znicz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Znicz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Znicz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
16.03.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Górnik Łęczna - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Znicz Pruszków - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Wisła Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 TWWLW
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
15.03.25	Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Warta Poznań - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
24.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Warta Poznań - GKS Tychy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
31.08.24	Warta Poznań - Znicz Pruszków	1:1
Polish Division 2
21.04.18	Warta Poznań - Znicz Pruszków	1:1
22.09.17	Znicz Pruszków - Warta Poznań	0:3

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