Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom (Mostar)

Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Zrinjski Mostar		Häcken

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.05
	3.25	3.45	2.08
	3.44	3.46	2.12
	2.43	3.25	2.95	Watch
	3.39	3.39	2.27
	3.4	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.46)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	2.26 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zrinjski Mostar
29.4%

Draw
28.2%

Häcken
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

30%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zrinjski Mostar's form might have worsened.

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Häcken's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zrinjski Mostar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Häcken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	24%	40%

Zrinjski Mostar - Häcken Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Zrinjski will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Häcken will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Häcken: 20.8% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Zrinjski (votes: 1 - 20%). Häcken (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Häcken (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Zrinjski (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Zrinjski (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Häcken (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ljubic M. (G) 50. Memija K. 27. Jakovljevic S. 55. Dujmovic D. 12. Mamic P. 21. Savic I. 3. Filipovic B. 25. Cuze M. 30. Djurasek N. 14. Sakota M. 99. Bilbija N. (C)	99. Berisha E. (G) 11. Lindberg J. 23. Samuelsson O. 22. Helander F. 21. Lundkvist A. 8. Andersen S. 10. Rygaard M. 14. Gustafson S. (C) 16. Dahbo P. 39. Brusberg I. 24. Layouni A.
Substitutes
1. Bogdan M. (G) 7. Burey T. 42. Cavar M. 20. Ivancic A. 6. Karacic D. 18. Karacic G. (G) 90. Majic T. 5. Masic I. 9. Mikic L. 22. Pranjic J. 23. Surdanovic S. 17. Susak A.	19. Dembe J. 3. Hammar J. 32. Jansson O. (G) 13. Jansson S. 15. Leach S. 1. Linde A. (G) 4. Lode M. 31. Madsen L. 7. Ngabo S. 29. Nioule S. 20. Svanback A. 5. Wembangomo B.
Coaches
Stimac I.	Gustafsson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Brusberg I. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Andersen S. ⚽, Rygaard M. (A),
45', Dahbo P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Sakota M. ↓, Mikic L. ↑,
61', Dahbo P. ↓, Ngabo S. ↑,
62', Brusberg I. ↓, Svanback A. ↑,
66', Djurasek N. ↓, Surdanovic S. ↑,
67', Filipovic B. ↓, Cavar M. ↑,
71', Rygaard M. 🟨,
73', Savic I. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Cuze M. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Bilbija N. ⚽,
85', Bilbija N. ↓, Ivancic A. ↑,
85', Mamic P. ↓, Susak A. ↑,
85', Lundkvist A. ↓, Wembangomo B. ↑,
85', Samuelsson O. ↓, Hammar J. ↑,
90+2', Susak A. 🟨,

Preview

Zrinjski is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Häcken has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zrinjski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zrinjski has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P. (Back Injury) Laursen J. (Knee Injury) Svanback A. (Injury) Vaisanen L. (Knee Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
21.11.25	Radnik Bijeljina - Zrinjski Mostar	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Zrinjski Mostar	6:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
01.11.25	Široki Brijeg - Zrinjski Mostar	1:2 ✺
Bosnian Cup
29.10.25	Romanija Pale - Zrinjski Mostar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW
- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.11.25	Mjällby - Häcken	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Häcken - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.11.25	Häcken - Malmö	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	AIK - Häcken	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Häcken - Rayo Vallecano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTTT

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