Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Bandic A. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 14
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Häcken		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.75	1.8
	3.95	3.7	1.82
	4.16	3.87	1.84
	4.23	3.72	1.79	Watch
	4.17	3.73	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.24)	3.75 ↓ (3.79)	1.82 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
22.9%

Draw
25.2%

Rayo Vallecano
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.9%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

24.6%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	13.6%	81.8%

Häcken - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Häcken (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rayo Vallecano will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Häcken (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Berisha E. (G) 11. Lindberg J. 23. Samuelsson O. 22. Helander F. 21. Lundkvist A. 14. Gustafson S. (C) 8. Andersen S. 10. Rygaard M. 20. Svanback A. 39. Brusberg I. 16. Dahbo P.	13. Batalla A. (G) 20. Balliu I. 24. Lejeune F. 33. Vertrouwd J. 22. Pacha 8. Trejo O. 6. Ciss P. (C) 15. Gumbau G. 7. Palazon I. 10. Camello S. 18. Garcia A.
Substitutes
18. Al Saed D. 19. Dembe J. 3. Hammar J. 44. Hilvenius H. 32. Jansson O. (G) 24. Layouni A. 15. Leach S. 1. Linde A. (G) 4. Lode M. 7. Ngabo S. 29. Nioule S. 5. Wembangomo B.	9. Alemao 28. Becerra S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 3. Chavarria P. 19. de Frutos J. 26. de las Sias M. 4. Diaz P. 17. Lopez U. 30. Molina A. (G) 21. Perez F. 2. Ratiu A. 23. Valentin O.
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽, Camello S. (A),
32', Lindberg J. 🟨,
37', Trejo O. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Lindberg J. ⚽, Gustafson S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Trejo O. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Brusberg I. ⚽, Lindberg J. (A),
67', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
67', Palazon I. ↓, Alemao ↑,
67', Camello S. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
67', Andersen S. ↓, Leach S. ↑,
78', Dahbo P. ↓, Layouni A. ↑,
79', Alemao 🟨,
81', Gumbau G. ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
86', Helander F. 🟨,
90+1', Lindberg J. ↓, Wembangomo B. ↑,
90+2', Rygaard M. ↓, Hammar J. ↑,
90+2', Brusberg I. ↓, Dembe J. ↑,
90+3', Berisha E. 🟨,
90+6', de Frutos J. 🟨,
90+7', Ratiu A. 🟨,
90+12', Batalla A. 🟨,
90+12', Layouni A. 🟨,
90+13', 2 - 2, Ratiu A. (Pen),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gamla Ullevi.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Rayo Vallecano is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P. (Back Injury) Hammar J. (Heel Injury) Kondo S. (Thigh Injury) Laursen J. (Knee Injury) Vaisanen L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.10.25	Häcken - Sirius	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Brommapojkarna - Häcken	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Shelbourne - Häcken	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.09.25	Häcken - Norrköping	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Hammarby - Häcken	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTWL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.25	Levante - Rayo Vallecano	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija Tetovo	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.09.25	Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLL

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