Match Info

Date: 17 May 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Caracas)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)


	Caracas		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.2
	1.95	3.2	4
	1.96	3.4	4
	1.93	3.25	3.95
	1.95	3.39	4.38
	1.95	3.1	3.8	Watch
	1.93	3.48	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.78)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	4.04 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
48.3%

Draw
28.4%

The Strongest
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

28.2%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	22.2%	27.8%

Caracas - The Strongest Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 18 - 50%). The Strongest will win (votes: 10 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caracas: 33.7% – 66.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Caracas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches The Strongest is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The Strongest could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Caracas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caracas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.05.22	Caracas - Mineros de Guayana	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Caracas	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.05.22	Caracas - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.04.22	Caracas - Monagas	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	The Strongest - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTWTT
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.22	The Strongest - Guabirá	0:0 ✺
11.05.22	Nacional Potosí - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Bolívar - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.05.22	The Strongest - Athletico Paranaense	5:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.04.22	The Strongest - Real Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	The Strongest - Caracas	1:1

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