Match Info

Date: 14 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Sede Deportiva Lino Alonso (Maracaibo)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)


	Zulia		Deportivo Táchira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3	1.98	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.83
	3.45	3.1	2
	3.44	2.94	2.11
	3.7	3.1	2
	3.72	3.28	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (2.38)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	1.98 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulia
25%

Draw
29.3%

Deportivo Táchira
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.1%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zulia's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Táchira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zulia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Táchira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Zulia - Deportivo Táchira Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Zulia will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Táchira: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zulia won 1.

Zulia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportivo Táchira is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Táchira will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Zulia won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 31-45.

Including matches at home between the teams Zulia won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.09.22	Metropolitanos - Zulia	2:0 ✺
02.09.22	Zulia - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0 ✺
25.08.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Zulia	2:1 ✺
18.08.22	Zulia - Aragua	0:0 ✺
11.08.22	Zulia - Monagas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLTT
- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
10.09.22	Deportivo Táchira - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Deportivo Táchira - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
19.08.22	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
05.03.22	Deportivo Táchira - Zulia	3:0
16.09.21	Deportivo Táchira - Zulia	3:0
31.07.21	Zulia - Deportivo Táchira	1:2
12.06.21	Deportivo Táchira - Zulia	4:1
24.04.21	Zulia - Deportivo Táchira	5:0
04.08.19	Deportivo Táchira - Zulia	2:0
03.02.19	Zulia - Deportivo Táchira	1:0

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