Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Sede Deportiva Lino Alonso (Maracaibo)


	Zulia		Monagas

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.77
	4	3.4	1.77
	4.12	3.34	1.74
	4.2	3.6	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.57)	3.44 ↑ (3.04)	1.76 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulia
22.3%

Draw
26.3%

Monagas
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

29.2%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

31.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monagas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	15%	55%

Zulia - Monagas Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Zulia will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Monagas will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monagas: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zulia won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Monagas is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Zulia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Zulia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
07.08.22	Universidad Central - Zulia	0:1 ✺
29.07.22	Zulia - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Zamora - Zulia	5:1 ✺
17.07.22	Zulia - Carabobo	2:0 ✺
10.07.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Zulia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWL
- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.08.22	Monagas - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
28.07.22	Universidad Central - Monagas	0:2 ✺
22.07.22	Monagas - Caracas	0:0 ✺
14.07.22	Aragua - Monagas	2:4 ✺
08.07.22	Monagas - Deportivo La Guaira	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
08.04.22	Monagas - Zulia	2:0
11.09.19	Monagas - Zulia	2:2
01.05.19	Zulia - Monagas	0:0
11.08.18	Monagas - Zulia	1:0
17.02.18	Zulia - Monagas	2:1
05.08.17	Zulia - Monagas	2:1
12.02.17	Monagas - Zulia	3:4

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