Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)


	Metropolitanos		Zulia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.7	5	Watch
	1.55	3.25	5.5
	1.59	3.65	4.9
	1.57	3.33	5.73
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.57	3.82	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.86)	3.54 ↑ (3.29)	5.35 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
57.6%

Draw
25.5%

Zulia
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitanos's performance.

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zulia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metropolitanos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zulia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	9.5%	23.8%

Metropolitanos - Zulia Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Zulia will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metropolitanos: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Metropolitanos is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitanos won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.09.22	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Metropolitanos - Monagas	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Carabobo - Metropolitanos	2:0 ✺
12.08.22	Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0 ✺
06.08.22	Mineros de Guayana - Metropolitanos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLWT
- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.09.22	Zulia - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0 ✺
25.08.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Zulia	2:1 ✺
18.08.22	Zulia - Aragua	0:0 ✺
11.08.22	Zulia - Monagas	0:0 ✺
07.08.22	Universidad Central - Zulia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
11.03.22	Zulia - Metropolitanos	1:2
24.08.19	Metropolitanos - Zulia	3:0
03.03.19	Zulia - Metropolitanos	0:2
23.09.18	Zulia - Metropolitanos	5:0
08.04.18	Metropolitanos - Zulia	1:1
10.09.17	Zulia - Metropolitanos	0:0
01.04.17	Metropolitanos - Zulia	1:0

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