The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zulia 51.9%
Draw 28.3%
Aragua 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
31.7%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
29.1%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zulia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zulia's performance.
Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aragua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zulia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aragua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.6%
13%
17.4%
Zulia - Aragua Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Zulia will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Aragua will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%). Confidence interval (95%) for Zulia: 50.8% – 88.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Zulia won 2.
Recent matches Zulia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Aragua has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Zulia won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Zulia won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-10.
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