Match Info

Date: 25 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Deportivo La Guaira		Zulia

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.75
	1.68	3.45	4.25
	1.63	3.6	4.6
	1.62	3.47	4.82
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.61	3.64	5.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.93)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	4.89 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Guaira
55.8%

Draw
25.7%

Zulia
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo La Guaira's performance.

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zulia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Guaira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zulia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	15.8%	26.3%

Deportivo La Guaira - Zulia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Zulia will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo La Guaira: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo La Guaira won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Deportivo La Guaira won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo La Guaira won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.08.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas	2:0 ✺
04.08.22	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira	2:0 ✺
31.07.22	Aragua - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
22.07.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Táchira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWT
- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.08.22	Zulia - Aragua	0:0 ✺
11.08.22	Zulia - Monagas	0:0 ✺
07.08.22	Universidad Central - Zulia	0:1 ✺
29.07.22	Zulia - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Zamora - Zulia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
24.03.22	Zulia - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2
27.10.19	Deportivo La Guaira - Zulia	0:0
05.05.19	Zulia - Deportivo La Guaira	1:0
29.07.18	Deportivo La Guaira - Zulia	1:1
04.02.18	Zulia - Deportivo La Guaira	0:1
04.10.17	Deportivo La Guaira - Zulia	1:2
10.05.17	Zulia - Deportivo La Guaira	1:3

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