Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 14

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.05	3	2.18	Watch
	3.14	3.15	2.23
	3.18	3.25	2.23	Watch
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.15	3.06	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.85)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.21 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
29.7%

Draw
29.2%

Kataller Toyama
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.9%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Zweigen Kanazawa - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shirai Y. (G) 55. Matsumoto D. 38. Yamamoto N. 20. Nagakura H. 14. Ishihara T. 8. Oyama K. 15. Nishiya Y. 27. Suzuki H. 18. Osawa T. 13. Shirawachi K. 9. Buwanika K.	1. Hirao T. (G) 13. Fukazawa S. 56. Okamoto S. 23. Nishiya S. 33. Takahashi Y. 20. Jung Woo-Young 16. Sueki H. 32. Mizoguchi S. 11. Ogawa K. 7. Kameda A. 42. Kim T.
Substitutes
3. Hatao H. 25. Kojima M. 26. Murata J. 6. Murata K. 2. Nagamine Y. 10. Patric 23. Shinomiya Y. 11. Sugiura K. 31. Ueda I. (G)	39. Furukawa M. 19. Saneto Y. 6. Sera S. 21. Terakado R. (G) 15. Tsuboi K. 48. Ueda K. 25. Yasumitsu S. 9. Yoshihira T. 17. Yunomae M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Fukazawa S. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Kameda A. ⚽,
42', Jung Woo-Young 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Suzuki H. ↓, Shinomiya Y. ↑,
58', Kim T. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
58', Kameda A. ↓, Yoshihira T. ↑,
59', Shirawachi K. ↓, Murata K. ↑,
59', Buwanika K. ↓, Patric ↑,
66', Ogawa K. ↓, Sera S. ↑,
69', Osawa T. ↓, Sugiura K. ↑,
70', Sugiura K. 🟨,
77', Patric 🟨,
80', Sueki H. ↓, Ueda K. ↑,
81', Okamoto S. ↓, Saneto Y. ↑,
83', Nishiya Y. 🟨,
84', Matsumoto D. ↓, Kojima M. ↑,
90+1', Yoshihira T. 🟨,
90+6', Fukazawa S. ↓, Yasumitsu S. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).

Kanazawa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kataller Toyama is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kataller Toyama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kataller Toyama could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kanazawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kanazawa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Zweigen Kanazawa - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.49%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Kataller Toyama - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.58%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J2 J3 League
29.04.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tokushima Vortis - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Imabari	1:0 penalties ✺
04.04.26	Albirex Niigata - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWL
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 J3 League
29.04.26	Kataller Toyama - Albirex Niigata	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Imabari - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Kataller Toyama - Kochi United	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Osaka - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Kataller Toyama - Nara Club	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
15.03.26	Kataller Toyama - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2
Japan J3 League
22.09.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Kataller Toyama	0:1
20.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0
Club Friendly
18.02.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Kataller Toyama	1:4

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