Match Info

J3 League - Round 17

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
				Watch
	2.31	3.25	3.06
				Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.24	3.08	3.05	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.08)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
41.4%

Draw
29.4%

Sagamihara
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27.8%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Zweigen Kanazawa - Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yamanoi T. (G) 4. Matsumoto D. 3. Hatao H. 20. Nagakura H. 14. Ishihara T. 15. Nishiya Y. 18. Kumagai A. 24. Nishiya K. 49. Osawa T. 17. Kato T. 10. Patric	46. Baumann N. (G) 3. Pytlik K. 33. Tokida M. 2. Kato D. 4. Shimakawa T. 18. Miki K. 8. Osako R. 17. Takeuchi T. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Rafael Furtado 11. Muto Y.
Substitutes
6. Jari J. 29. Miyazaki K. 26. Murata J. 30. Otani H. 41. Shimada S. 23. Shinomiya Y. 1. Shirai Y. (G) 11. Sugiura K. 9. Toshida Y.	22. Fukui K. 15. Maeda T. 1. Miura M. (G) 27. Nishiyama T. 19. Satori K. 14. Takagi A. 16. Takano R. 5. Tashiro M. 6. Tokunaga Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Pytlik K. 🟨,
42', Nishiya Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Kato T. ↓, Shinomiya Y. ↑,
65', Patric ↓, Toshida Y. ↑,
69', Miki K. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
69', Sugimoto R. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
71', Osawa T. ↓, Shimada S. ↑,
71', Ishihara T. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
76', Rafael Furtado ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
76', Muto Y. ↓, Satori K. ↑,
77', Takano R. 🟨,
83', Takeuchi T. ↓, Nishiyama T. ↑,
87', Kumagai A. ↓, Murata J. ↑,
90', Kato D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17).

Kanazawa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sagamihara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sagamihara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sagamihara has had a series of away games.

Kanazawa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kanazawa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kanazawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan Emperors Cup
18.06.25	Tokyo - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
14.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:1 ✺
01.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ryūkyū	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
14.06.25	Sagamihara - Kochi United	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Júbilo Iwata - Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
07.06.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara	4:2 ✺
01.06.25	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	3:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
27.07.24	Sagamihara - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1
24.03.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Sagamihara	1:0
Japan J2 League
24.10.21	Sagamihara - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1
28.03.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Sagamihara	2:1

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