The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 42.2%
Draw 30.2%
Sagamihara 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
29.1%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
28.8%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tegevajaro Miyazaki's form might have worsened.
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tegevajaro Miyazaki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagamihara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Lee Chung-won (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 35. Egawa G. 39. Shimokawa Y. 50. Yasuda K. 8. Rikiyasu S. 41. Sakai S. 47. Okumura K. 10. Inoue R. 11. Hashimoto K.
46. Baumann N. (G) 3. Pytlik K. 5. Tashiro M. 2. Kato D. 4. Shimakawa T. 18. Miki K. 17. Takeuchi T. 8. Osako R. 36. Nakashio D. 9. Rafael Furtado 11. Muto Y.
Substitutes
55. Aoki K. (G) 48. Kihara J. 42. Matsumoto K. 43. Morita R. 13. Nakano K. 6. Okuma K. 45. Tanaka S. 25. Yokokubo K. 18. Yoshizawa S.
22. Fukui K. 23. Kato T. 7. Kawano R. 1. Miura M. (G) 27. Nishiyama T. 28. Ogasawara K. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Takagi A. 6. Tokunaga Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Pytlik K. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Egawa G. ⚽,
30', Egawa G. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Tashiro M. ⚽, Miki K. (A),
42', Tashiro M. ↓, Ogasawara K. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', Muto Y. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Sakai S. ⚽,
60', Miki K. ↓, Kawano R. ↑,
61', Rafael Furtado ↓, Kato T. ↑,
69', Osako R. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
69', Nakashio D. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
79', Muto Y. ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Sugimoto R. ⚽,
82', Inoue R. ↓, Yoshizawa S. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Hashimoto K. ⚽,
90', Sakai S. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
90', Okumura K. ↓, Okuma K. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 2, Yoshizawa S. ⚽,
90+4', Shimokawa Y. ↓, Morita R. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 1.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Sagamihara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tegevajaro Miyazaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
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Japan
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Lee Chung-won (G) 
Matsumoto Y. 
Baumann N. (G) 
Pytlik K. 
Rafael Furtado 
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